The San Diego Padres (32-32) take on the Los Angeles Angels (23-38) in the finale of their three-game series on Wednesday, June 5, at 9:38 PM ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California. The Padres are slightly favored for success with a moneyline at -145.
The Padres have lost their last three games heading into Game 3 of this series. They lost the first two here and their finale against the Kansas City Royals, which was a 4-3 outing.
Dylan Cease (5-4) earns the start on the mound. He currently has an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 0.97. Their team ERA is at 3.94, so he has an excellent opportunity to keep them within reach early.
The Padres offer a few different players on offense that lead the way. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads with 10 homers, Jurickson Profar with a .329 batting average, and Jake Cronenworth with 39 RBIs. Collectively, they all need standout games if their defense fails.
They are averaging .259 at the plate while allowing .236. This is a solid separation between the two, but they continue to be consistent in both scenarios.
The Angels are currently on a two-game win streak, which has occurred in the first two games of this series. So far, they are averaging 3.0 runs and allowing 1.50 in return for this series. They need this positive momentum to last to continue this streak.
They will have Jose Soriano (2-5) to start on the mound. He currently has an ERA (3.86) and a WHIP of 1.22, which should help the team stay within reach of the Padres' offense.
The Angels have Taylor Ward, who leads them in several offensive categories with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, and a .257 batting average. If he can find a way to get warm at the plate early, they have a good shot of landing some runs with Ward.
Their batting average is at .237, and they are allowing .236. At this rate, they are averaging what they put out offensively as their defensive output. This will be tough to keep up and will most likely break the trend they have set in the last few games.
MyBookie presents the odds for this MLB matchup, favoring the Padres. Market analysis suggests a 50.7 percent probability of a Padres victory, which seems lower than it should on paper.
Evaluating the starting pitchers and batting averages, the Padres emerge more likely to succeed. Even as the visiting team, they seem stronger overall and the most likely to secure a narrow win.