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Boxing Betting Preview: Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo

September 30, 2023

A highly anticipated battle is coming up soon between Saul "Canelo" Alvarez, the four-time super middleweight champion, and Jermell Charlo, the undisputed junior middleweight champion. This fight marks Alvarez's third defense of his undisputed title, while Charlo is making a jump up to the 168-pound division for the first time.

  • Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

  • Main Card: 11:00 PM ET

  • Watch on: Showtime

Canelo Alvarez Betting Preview

Alvarez is a highly recognizable figure in boxing with a 59-2-2 record and 39 knockouts. He is currently ranked the top overall boxer in the world for Super Middleweight and top ranked out of Mexico.

He suffered his second career loss in May of last year, but has since won two consecutive fights. He typically lands knockouts about 66.1 percent of the time.

Over the past decade, he has participated in seven fights, winning six of them, with four going the distance. Notably, he won a trilogy fight against Gennady Golovkin in September 2022, improving his record against Golovkin to 2-0-1.

Jermell Charlo Betting Preview

Charlo (35-1-1) has landed 19 knockouts so far in his career. He achieved undisputed status at 154 pounds with a TKO win over Brian Castano in May of last year, settling their 2021 disputed draw.

He has been unbeaten in his last five fights since losing to Tony Harrison in 2019. Despite being less active, he avenged his loss to Harrison in 2019 and had a draw with Castano in 2021 before knocking Castano out in 2022.

Charlo's recent success is attributed to his ability to finish fights, with four of his last five wins coming via knockout. His success at knockout comes in about 54.29 percent of the time in his fights.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie's latest event odds show Canelo Alvarez as a slightly favored contender for success. To enhance your potential payout, you might want to include Alvarez in a parlay with other boxing matches happening that night.

  • Jermell Charlo: +268

  • Canelo Alvarez: -416

Charlo has a rare opportunity to not only beat Canelo Alvarez, but to take over as one of the best boxers in the world. However, this will not be an easy feat, as Charlo is moving up in weight classes to face Canelo, who is more than experienced in this division.

Charlo has physical advantages in height and reach, which could be beneficial in his attempt for victory. To secure the win, Charlo may need to aim for a knockout, considering the extra weight could affect him as the fight progresses.

While Charlo has potential, the odds still favor Canelo to win, as he is seen as the likely victor in this exciting, longer battle. Look for Alvarez to win a tough decision battle.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Canelo Alvarez to Win at -416