The 6^th-ranked Oregon Ducks will travel to Tempe, Arizona to face the Arizona Sun Devils at Mountain America Stadium in a battle of two Pac-12 teams on Saturday afternoon with the game scheduled to start at 4:00 PM ET and will air nationally on Fox.

Oregon is one of the most complete teams in college football this season as they enter this game averaging the most points per game in college football with an average of 46.3 points per game while also having one of the best scoring defenses in the nation that is allowing an average of 17.1 points per game which is tied for 12^th in college football. The Ducks have won by an average margin of 29.2 points per game in their matchups this season which is one of the largest margins of victory this season and enter this game with a record of 9-1 and are on a four-game losing streak following their loss against the Washington Huskies earlier this season which includes a 36-27 win in last week’s game against the USC Trojans. Bo Nix is one of the favorites to win the 2023 Heisman Trophy and if the Ducks win out and defeat the Huskies in the Pac-12 Championship game he will likely win the 2023 Heisman Trophy as he enters this game having completed 258 of 332 attempts for 3,135 yards with 29 touchdowns and two interceptions while also rushing for five touchdowns. 

The Arizona State Sun Devils will miss a bowl game for the 2^nd consecutive season as they enter this game with a record of 3-7 which includes a record of 2-5 in the Pac-12 Conference. The Sun Devils have one of the worst offenses in college football this season as they are only averaging 17.7 points per game which is the 6^th fewest points per game this year. Arizona State has been outgained by their opponents by an average of 323.6 to 354 yards per game and is -12 in the turnover department this year. Things won’t get any easier in week 12 as the Sun Devils will be going against the highest-scoring offense in college football this season when they host the Oregon Ducks on Saturday afternoon.

BookMaker has the Oregon Ducks listed as 23.5-point favorites on the road against the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday afternoon in week 12 of the college football season. Oregon has won eight of the last ten while Arizona State has won two of the last three meetings. The teams are 5-5 ATS in the last ten while the Sun Devils are 3-0 ATS in the last three games in the series. The Oregon Ducks are 7-2-1 ATS overall, 3-0-1 ATS on the road, 7-2 ATS as a favorite, and 4-2-1 ATS in conference games this season while the Arizona State Sun Devils are 5-4-1 ATS overall, 2-3-1 ATS at home, 5-3-1 ATS as an underdog, and 5-1-1 ATS in conference games on the year.

Oregon is the more talented team and should have no problem getting the win in this game, however, Arizona State has been the better team most recently in the series at covering the spread as they have gone 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings. The Sun Devils have also been the best team at covering the spread in conference games as they are 5-1-1 ATS in conference games this season. As a result, I am buying the .5 point and taking the points with the Arizona State Sun Devils when they host the Oregon Ducks.