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College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Oklahoma Sooners

September 2, 2023


The Arkansas State Red Wolves finished with a record of 3-9 overall and a record of 1-7 in the Sun Belt which resulted in a last-place finish in the West Division of the Sun Belt Conference and the Red Wolves missing a bowl game for the 3rd consecutive season. This season, Arkansas State enters the season with an over/under win total of 4.5 wins which means the Red Wolves are projected to miss a bowl game for the 4th consecutive year and if that happens, I believe Arkansas State will fire Butch Jones as their head coach. 

Based on Vegas odds, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are projected to be the 4th worst team in the Sun Belt, only better than the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, Texas State Bobcats, and Old Dominion Monarchs.

The Oklahoma Sooners finished last season with an overall record of 6-7 and a record of 3-6 in the Big 12 Conference which led to a tie for 7th place in the Big 12 Conference and the Sooners making a bowl game for the 24th consecutive season. This year, the Oklahoma Sooners enter the year ranked 20th in the AP Poll and 19th in the Coaches Poll with an over/under win total of 9.5 wins which means the Sooners are projected to become bowl-eligible for the 25th year in a row. 

Based on Vegas projections, the Oklahoma Sooners are projected to be the 2nd best team in the Big 12 in their last season of play in the conference only behind the Texas Longhorns, and have the 15th-best odds of winning the National Championship as the Sooners are +5000 to accomplish that feat this year.

BookMaker has the Oklahoma Sooners listed as 36.5-point favorites at home against the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Saturday in week 1 of the college football season. These teams have only played one other time which occurred in 2000 and resulted in a 45-7 win for the Sooners at home as well as a 32-point cover as a favorite. 

Arkansas State finished last season 7-5 ATS overall, 5-1 ATS on the road, and 5-4 ATS as an underdog while the Oklahoma Sooners finished 5-8 ATS overall, 2-4 ATS at home, and 4-7 ATS as a favorite.

The Oklahoma Sooners are the far superior team in terms of talent and are projected to be one of the best teams in college football as they enter ranked 20th in the AP Poll and 19th in the Coaches Poll while having the 15th best odds of winning a National Championship. 

Meanwhile, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are projected to be the 4th worst team in the Sun Belt Conference and enter the season with an over/under win total of 4.5 wins. Arkansas State finished the season with a winning record ATS with a record of 7-5 ATS while Oklahoma was below .500 with a record of 5-8 ATS. 

These teams have played each other since 2000 in a game that resulted in a 38-point win at home for the Oklahoma Sooners. I look for the Sooners to get the win, however, I do look for the Red Wolves to keep the game within the point spread which is why I will be buying the .5 point and taking the Arkansas State Red Wolves +37 in week 1 of the college football season on BookMaker.

Spooky Express Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves +37

Written By: Daniel Newton