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College Football Betting Preview: Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
October 7, 2023
The Vanderbilt Commodores started the season at 2-0 but have since lost four games in a row including last week’s loss at home against the Missouri Tigers while the Florida Gators have been one of the more inconsistent teams this year and will be looking to bounce back following a loss on the road to the Kentucky Wildcats when they host the Commodores at Ben Hill Stadium in Gainesville, Florida on Saturday afternoon. Will the Gators win in a rout at home or will the Commodores keep the game closer than Vegas projects? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing this season.
The Vanderbilt Commodores enter this game with a record of 2-4 following a 21-38 loss at home against the Missouri Tigers while failing to cover the 14-point spread as a home underdog in week 5 of the college football season. Vanderbilt scored 21 points while compiling a total of 300 yards offensively which included 259 passing yards and 41 rushing yards while allowing 38 points and 532 total yards defensively which included 395 passing yards and 137 rushing yards. Ken Seals led the team in passing, completing 20 of 31 attempts for 259 yards with two touchdowns and an interception while rushing for a touchdown. Jayden McGowan led the team in rushing with three carries for 24 yards while adding a reception for seven yards. Will Sheppard led the team in receiving catching five of eight targets for 98 yards and a touchdown.
Florida enters this game with a record of 3-2 following a 14-33 loss on the road against the Kentucky Wildcats while failing to cover the 1-point spread as a road underdog in week 5 of the college football season. The Gators scored 14 points while compiling a total of 313 yards offensively which included 244 passing yards and 69 rushing yards while allowing 33 points and 398 total yards defensively which included 69 passing yards and 329 rushing yards. Graham Mertz led the team in passing, completing 25 of 30 attempts for 244 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Montrell Johnson Jr. led the team in rushing with ten carries for 42 yards while adding six receptions for 22 yards. Ricky Pearsall led the team in receiving, catching all three targets for 62 yards and a touchdown.
BookMaker has the Florida Gators listed as 18.5-point favorites at home against the Vanderbilt Commodores on Saturday afternoon in week 6 of the college football season. Florida has won eight of the last ten and two of the last three games in the series while Vanderbilt is 2-1 ATS in the last three contests. Vanderbilt is 0-6 ATS overall, 0-2 ATS on the road, 0-3 ATS as an underdog, and 0-2 ATS in conference games this season while the Florida Gators are 1-4 ATS overall, 1-2 ATS at home, 0-2 ATS as a favorite, and 1-1 ATS in conference games this season.
Florida enters this game with a better record and has been the better team in the series, winning eight of the last ten and two of the last three games. The Commodores have not covered the spread in any of their six games this season and I don’t expect that to change on Saturday when they travel to the Swamp to take on the Gators which is why I am buying the .5 point and taking the Florida Gators -18 on BookMaker for this matchup on Saturday.
Spooky Express Pick: Florida Gators -18
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