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College Football Betting Preview: Florida St Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils

October 21, 2023



A pair of ACC teams will face off in the prime-time game on ABC when the 16th-ranked Duke Blue Devils travel to Tallahassee, Florida to face the 4th-ranked Florida State Seminoles at Doak Campbell Stadium at 7:30 PM ET on Saturday night.

The Duke Blue Devils enter this game ranked 16th in the AP Poll and 17th in the Coaches Poll with a record of 5-1 following a 24-3 win at home against the NC State Wolfpack while covering the 4-point spread as a home favorite in week 7 of the college football season. Duke scored 24 points while compiling a total of 301 yards offensively which included 107 passing yards and 194 rushing yards while allowing 3 points and 305 total yards defensively which included 193 passing yards and 112 rushing yards. Henry Belin IV led the team in passing, completing 4 of 12 attempts for 107 yards with two touchdowns and an interception while adding 28 rushing yards. Jordan Waters led the team in rushing with 13 carries for 123 yards and a touchdown. Jalon Calhoun led the team in receiving with one receptions for 69 yards and a touchdown.

Florida State enters this game ranked 4th in the AP Poll and 4th in the Coaches Poll with a record of 6-0 following a 41-3 win at home against the Syracuse Orange while covering the 18.5-point spread as a home favorite in week 7 of the college football season. The Seminoles scored 41 points while compiling a total of 535 yards offensively which included 344 passing yards and 191 rushing yards while allowing 3 points and 261 total yards defensively which included 137 passing yards and 124 rushing yards. Jordan Travis led the team in passing, completing 23 of 37 attempts for 284 yards and a touchdown while rushing for two touchdowns. Lawrence Toafili led the team in rushing with seven carries for 93 yards and a touchdown while adding a reception for 11 yards. Keon Coleman led the team in receiving, catching nine of 11 targets for 140 yards and a touchdown.

BookMaker has the Florida State Seminoles listed as 14-point favorites at home against the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday night in week 8 of the college football season. Florida State has won the last ten games in the series and has won by an average margin of 28 points per game over the last ten and 22 points per game in the last three meetings. The Seminoles are 8-2 ATS in the last ten and 2-1 ATS in the last three matchups. Duke is 4-2 ATS overall, 1-0 ATS on the road, 1-1 ATS as an underdog, and 2-0 ATS in conference games while the Florida State Seminoles are 4-2 ATS overall, 2-1 ATS at home, 3-2 ATS as a favorite, and 2-2 ATS in conference games on the year.

Florida State has looked like a dominant team this season and has been even more dominant in the series against Duke having won the last ten matchups in the series. The Seminoles have not only won but have blown out the Blue Devils in the majority of those contests winning by an average margin of 28 points per game over the last ten and 22 points per game over the last three contests. I look for that trend to continue in this matchup which is why I am laying the 14 points and taking the Florida State Seminoles -14 when they host the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday night. 

Spooky Express Pick: Florida State Seminoles -14