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College Football Betting Preview: MAC Championship Game - Miami-OH Redhawks vs. Toledo Rockets

December 2, 2023


The MAC Championship game will take place on Saturday afternoon when the Miami Ohio RedHawks face the Toledo Rockets in Detroit, Michigan at Ford Field with the game kicking off at 12:00 PM ET and will air on ESPN.

The Miami Ohio RedHawks won the MAC East division after finishing with an overall record of 10-2 which included a record of 7-1 in conference play and are on a four-game winning streak following a 17-15 win on the road against the Ball State Cardinals last week. The defense for the RedHawks has been one of the best scoring defenses in college football this season and has played a major role in Miami-Ohio making it to the MAC Championship game as they are allowing an average of 16.33 points per game which is the 8th fewest points per game in college football this season. 

However, they have been a below-average scoring team this season as they are averaging 27.25 points per game. The RedHawks will look to win their 3rd MAC Championship game and their first since the 2019 season when they play the Toledo Rockets on Saturday afternoon.

Toledo enters this game with a record of 11-1 with their lone loss coming against the Illinois Fighting Illini in week 1 of the college football season on the road by a score of 28-30 and have gone on an 11-game winning streak. The Rockets have lived up to their expectations this season as they entered the year as the favorite to win the MAC Conference and have gone undefeated in conference play with a record of 8-0 and have been one of the highest-scoring teams in college football this season as they enter this game averaging 35.25 points per game which ranks 20th in college football their rushing offense has played a pivotal role in the success the offense has had this season as they are averaging 211.92 rushing yards per game. 

Penny Boone has been one of the key catalysts for the success of the running game for the Rockets this season as he enters this game with 1,359 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns while adding 13 receptions for 186 yards and a touchdown. The Toledo Rockets will be looking to win back-to-back MAC Championship games and their 5th championship overall when they play the Miami-Ohio RedHawks.

BookMaker has the Toledo Rockets listed as 8-point favorites against the Miami-Ohio RedHawks in the MAC Championship game on Saturday afternoon. The teams are 5-5 in the last ten meetings while Toledo has won two of the last three matchups. 

The teams are 5-5 ATS in the last ten while the Rockets are 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. The Miami-Ohio RedHawks are 9-3 ATS overall, 2-2 ATS as an underdog, and 6-2 ATS in conference games this season while the Toledo Rockets are 6-6 ATS overall, 5-6 ATS as a favorite, and 4-4 ATS in conference games on the year.

Toledo enters this game with a better record and has been the better team most recently in the series, winning two of the last three games. However, the RedHawks have been the best team in the conference at covering the spread as they are 9-3 ATS overall and 6-2 ATS in conference games while the Rockets are 6-6 ATS overall and 4-4 ATS in conference games. As a result, I am taking the points with the Miami-Ohio RedHawks when they play the Toledo Rockets in the MAC Championship game on Saturday afternoon.

Spooky Express Pick: Miami-Ohio RedHawks +8