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College Football Betting Preview: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

November 2, 2023


A pair of Big 12 teams will face each other on Thursday evening when the TCU Horned Frogs travel to Lubbock, Texas to face the Texas Tech Red Raiders at Jones AT&T Stadium with the game airing on Fox Sports 1 and kicking off at 7:00 PM ET in week 10 of the college football season.

The TCU Horned Frogs enter this game with a record of 4-4 following a 3-41 loss on the road against the Kansas State Wildcats while failing to cover the 5.5-point spread as a road underdog in week 8 of the college football season. TCU scored 3 points while compiling a total of 300 yards offensively which included 187 passing yards and 113 rushing yards while allowing 41 points and 587 total yards defensively which included 244 passing yards and 343 rushing yards. 

Josh Hoover led the team in passing, completing 23 of 43 attempts for 187 yards and an interception. Emani Bailey led the team in rushing with 12 carries for 100 yards while adding two receptions for eight yards. Savion Williams led the team in receiving, catching four of nine targets for 60 yards.

Texas Tech enters this game with a record of 3-5 following a 14-27 loss on the road against the BYU Cougars while failing to cover the 3-point spread as a road favorite in week 8 of the college football season. The Red Raiders scored 14 points while compiling a total of 389 yards offensively which included 236 passing yards and 153 rushing yards while allowing 27 points and 277 total yards defensively which included 127 passing yards and 150 rushing yards. 

Jake Strong led the team in passing, completing 19 of 37 attempts for 236 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions while rushing for seven yards on five attempts. Tahj Brooks led the team in rushing with 31 carries for 105 yards and a touchdown while adding three receptions for 15 yards. Xavier White led the team in receiving, catching three of six targets for 98 yards and a touchdown.

BookMaker has the Texas Tech Red Raiders listed as 3-point favorites at home against the TCU Horned Frogs on Thursday evening in week 10 of the college football season. TCU has won seven of the last ten including the previous four meetings in a row. Both teams are 5-5 ATS in the last ten games in the series while the Horned Frogs are 3-0 ATS in the last three games in the series. The TCU Horned Frogs are 3-5 ATS overall, 1-2 ATS on the road, 0-1 ATS as an underdog, and 2-3 ATS in conference games this season while the Texas Tech Red Raiders are 3-5 ATS overall, 2-2 ATS at home, 3-4 ATS as a favorite, and 2-3 ATS in conference games on the year.

Despite having the better record and having been the dominant team in the series, winning seven of the last ten including the previous four matchups in a row, TCU finds themselves as an underdog in this matchup. I look for that to be a mistake as the Horned Frogs have also covered the spread in the last three games in the series. Take the points with the TCU Horned Frogs when they play the Texas Tech Red Raiders.

Spooky Express Pick: TCU Horned Frogs +3