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College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Vols vs. Florida Gators

September 16, 2023



This matchup features a pair of SEC East rivals as the #11-tanked Tennessee Volunteers on the road against the Florida Gators on Saturday evening in week 3 of the college football season. 

Tennessee enters this game with a record of 2-0 this season with wins at home against Virginia Cavaliers by a score of 49-13 and Austin Peay Governors at home by a score of 30-13 in week 2 while the Florida Gators are 1-1 this season with a loss on the road against the Utah Utes by a score of 11-24 while winning at home against the McNeese State Cowboys by a score of 49-7 in week 2 of the college football season. 

Will the Volunteers improve to 3-0 this season or will the Florida Gators pull off the upset at home? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing this season.

The Tennessee Volunteers enter this game ranked 11th in the AP Poll and 9th in the Coaches Poll with a record of 2-0 following a 30-13 win at home against the Austin Peay Governors while failing to cover the 48-point spread as a home favorite in week 2 of the college football season. Tennessee scored 30 points while compiling 456 total yards offensively which included 228 passing yards and 228 rushing yards while allowing 13 points and 339 total yards defensively which included 260 passing yards and 79 rushing yards. 

Joe Milton III led the team in passing, completing 21 of 33 attempts for 228 yards with two touchdowns while rushing for seven yards and a touchdown. Jaylen Wright led the team in rushing with 13 carries for 118 yards while adding three receptions for 18 yards. Ramel Keyton led the team in receiving, catching five of six targets for 52 yards and a touchdown.

Florida enters this game with a record of 1-1 following a 49-7 win at home against the McNeese State Cowboys while failing to cover the 48.5-point spread as a home favorite in week 2 of the college football season. The Gators scored 49 points while compiling 560 total yards offensively which included 233 passing yards and 327 rushing yards while allowing 7 points and 112 total yards defensively while adding 66 passing yards and 46 rushing yards. 

Graham Mertz led the team in passing, completing 14 of 17 attempts for 193 yards and a touchdown while rushing for eight yards and a touchdown. Montrell Johnson Jr. led the team in rushing with 15 carries for 119 yards and two touchdowns. Ricky Pearsall led the team in receiving, catching six of seven targets for 123 yards and a touchdown.

BookMaker has the Tennessee Volunteers listed as 6.5-point favorites on the road against the Florida Gators on Saturday evening in week 3 of the college football season. 

Florida has won eight of the last ten and two of the last three games in the series while going 6-4 ATS in the last ten and 2-1 ATS in the last three matchups. Tennessee is 1-1 ATS overall and 1-1 ATS as a favorite this season while the Florida Gators are 0-2 ATS overall, 0-1 ATS at home, and 0-1 ATS as a favorite.

Tennessee is the more talented team this season, however, Florida has been the dominant team in the series winning eight of the last ten and two of the last three games while going 6-4 ATS in the last ten and 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. As a result, I am buying the .5 point and taking the Florida Gators +7 on BookMaker for this matchup on Saturday evening.

Spooky Express Pick: Florida Gators +7