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Conference USA Championship College Football Betting Preview: Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico St Aggies

December 1, 2023


The New Mexico State Aggies will travel to Lynchburg, Virginia to face the Liberty Flames at Williams Stadium in the Conference USA Championship game with the game scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET on Friday evening and will air on the CBS Sports Network.

New Mexico State enters this game on an eight-game winning streak following a 20-17 win at home against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks on Saturday which also improved their record to 10-3 and a 2nd place finish in Conference USA to earn a spot in the Conference Championship game. The Aggies have been one of the best defensive teams in the conference as they enter this game allowing an average of 19.69 points per game which ranks 21st in college football. The offense has also been above average as they are averaging 28.23 points per game while their rushing offense has played a pivotal role in the success the team has had this season as they are averaging 203.85 rushing yards per game which ranks 11th in college football. Diego Pavia has been the top playmaker for the offense this season as he leads the team in passing and rushing he enters this game having completed 198 of 324 attempts for 2,727 yards with 23 touchdowns and eight interceptions while rushing for 808 yards and five touchdowns.

The Liberty Flames will be playing in the Conference USA Championship game in their first season in the conference and finished the regular season with a record of 12-0 which was the best record in Conference USA. The offense has been one of the most potent offenses in college football this season as they enter this game averaging the 6th most points per game in college football with an average of 40.08 and have the best-rushing offense as they are averaging 295.42 rushing yards per game. Quinton Cooley leads the team in rushing with 1,251 yards and 13 touchdowns while Kaidon Salter has also played a pivotal role in the success the offense has had this season as he leads the team in passing and is 2nd in rushing as he enters this game having completed 142 attempts for 241 attempts for 2,431 yards with 29 touchdowns and five interceptions while rushing for 899 yards and 11 touchdowns. The Flames will be playing for a spot in one of the New Year's Six Bowls with a win and will look to finish the season undefeated with a win in the Conference USA Championship game.

BookMaker has the Liberty Flames listed as 10-point favorites at home against the New Mexico State Aggies in the Conference USA Championship game on Friday evening. Liberty has won four of the six games all-time and two of the last three including a 33-17 win at home earlier this season. The Flames are 3-2-1 ATS all-time and 2-1 ATS in the last three games this season. The New Mexico State Aggies are 10-2-1 ATS overall, 5-1-1 ATS on the road, 5-1-1 ATS as an underdog, and 7-1 ATS in conference games this season while the Liberty Flames are 8-4 ATS overall, 4-3 ATS at home, 8-4 ATS as a favorite, and 5-3 ATS in conference games on the year.

Liberty has been the best team in the conference this season and won the matchup earlier this season by 16 points. The Flames have also been the better team in the series, winning four of the six games all-time while going 3-2-1 ATS in those contests. As a result, I am laying the points with the Liberty Flames when they host the New Mexico State Aggies in the Conference USA Championship game on Friday evening.

Spooky Express Pick: Liberty Flames -10