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Dana White's Contender Series Season 7 Betting Preview: Cesar Almeida vs. Lucas Fernando

August 8, 2023

Coming up in the Dana White's Contender Series, you will get to see a middleweight main event showdown between Cesar Almeida and Lucas Fernando. Both fighters are aiming to land a contract in the UFC, making this a great betting opportunity.

  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Tuesday August 8, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM ET

  • Watch on: ESPN+

Cesar Almeida Betting Preview

Almeida is currently on a three fight winning streak heading into this event. His most recent victory, however, was back in December of 2021 which was a first round knockout against Danilo de Souza Silva.

His fighting resume shows that he has three wins that consists of three knockouts. All three of his knockout victories have resulted in a first round finish.

“Cesinha” has primarily been a kickboxer all throughout his professional career. He has put up a kickboxing record of 47-8-1 and 27 of those were knockouts.

His stats are solid, as he put up 13.59 significant strikes a minute while taking on 11.85. He also landed nearly 68 percent of his strikes during that time. He has a tough matchup ahead of him, especially since MMA is a different ball game compared to just kickboxing.

Lucas Fernando Betting Preview

Fernando is currently on a four fight winning streak as he approaches this event. His most recent success was a fourth round rear knockout against Jansey Silva back in March of this year.

His fighting resume shows that he has nine wins that consist of five knockouts, two submissions, and two decisions. Six of his nine wins have resulted in a first round finish and his only loss has come by decision.

He has moved around various fighting leagues over the years. Most notably, he has gone 4-0 in the Legacy Fighting Alliance and has battled against solid competition.

He is currently ranked as the 134th best welterweight fighter in the world and is aiming to improve but also impress here. He has a respectable opponent, despite having little MMA experience.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie reveals that Lucas Fernando is a moderate favorite to win this matchup. Consider adding Fernando to a parlay with other fights on the night to get the best value if you are wanting to bet on him.

  • Cesar Almeida: +222

  • Lucas Fernando: -300

  • *odds are subject to changes

Almeida is an interesting choice to bet on since he has so much fighting experience under his belt. This might actually give him an edge here. However, Fernando has battled a few MMA opponents that have arguably given him trouble and he has been victorious through a majority of those.

Final Pick: Take Lucas Fernando to Win at -300