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College Basketball Betting Previews
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
March 9, 2024
The regular season ACC title will be decided on Saturday evening when the 7
th
-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels travel to Durham, North Carolina to face the 9
th
-ranked Duke Blue Devils in the “Tobacco Road” rivalry at Cameron Indoor Stadium with the game tipping off at 6:30 PM ET and will air on
ESPN
.
North Carolina Tar Heels Team Preview
The North Carolina Tar Heels enter this game ranked 7
th
in the AP Poll and 7
th
in the Coaches Poll with a record of 24-6 and are in 1
st
place in the ACC with a conference record of 16-3 while having won their last five games in a row following Tuesday’s 84-51 win at home against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.
North Carolina ranks 28
th
nationally in scoring with an average of 81.45 points per game. Defensively, the Tar Heels have been an above-average team as they are allowing an average of 70.41 points per game which ranks 126
th
nationally and is below the national average of 72.02 points allowed per game. Armando Bacot enters this game averaging a double-double with 14 points and 10.2 rebounds per game while also leading the team in blocks with an average of 1.6 blocks per game.
The North Carolina Tar Heels will look to win the regular season ACC title and extend their winning streak to six games when they travel to face the 9
th
-ranked Duke Blue Devils.
Duke Blue Devils Team Preview
The Duke Blue Devils enter this game ranked 9
th
in the AP Poll and 8
th
in the Coaches Poll with an overall record of 24-6 and are in 2
nd
place in the ACC with a conference record of 15-4 while having won their last three games in a row including a 79-64 win on the road against the North Carolina State Wolfpack.
Duke has been one of the best teams offensively and defensively this season and enters this game ranked 41
st
nationally in scoring and 46
th
in points allowed per game with an average of 80.23 points while allowing an average of 66.67 points per game. Kyle Filipowski has been one of the best players for the Blue Devils this season and leads the team in scoring, rebounds, and blocks with an average of 16.5 points, 8 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks per game.
The Duke Blue Devils will look to extend their winning streak to four games and win the regular season ACC title when they host the 7
th
-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday evening.
Odds and Series Trends
JustBet
has the Duke Blue Devils listed as 4.5-point favorites at home against the North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday evening. The teams have split the last ten while Duke has won two of the previous three meetings. The Tar Heels have covered the spread in six of the last ten while the Blue Devils have covered the spread in two of the previous three games in the series. The North Carolina Tar Heels are 17-13 ATS overall, 6-3 ATS on the road, 1-1 ATS as an underdog, and 11-8 ATS in conference games this season while the Duke Blue Devils are 18-11-1 ATS overall, 11-6 ATS at home, 18-9-1 ATS as a favorite, and 11-7-1 ATS in conference games on the year.
Game Pick
North Carolina is the higher-ranked team, however, Duke has been the better team most recently in the series, winning two of the previous three contests. The Blue Devils have covered the spread in two of the previous three games in the series and have been the better team at covering the spread this season with a record of 18-11-1 ATS overall and 11-7-1 ATS in conference games while the Tar Heels are 17-13 ATS overall and 11-8 ATS in conference games. As a result, I am buying the .5 point and laying the points with the Duke Blue Devils when they host the North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday evening.
Spooky Express Pick: Duke Blue Devils -4
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