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EPL Betting Preview: Arsenal vs Manchester City

September 22, 2024


A clash of the titans takes center stage in this weekend's Premier League action, as last season's top two, Manchester City and Arsenal, face off in an early-season top-of-the-table showdown.


Both teams return to domestic action following goalless draws in the Champions League against Italian opposition. Inter Milan held Manchester City at the Etihad, while Arsenal had to rely on the heroics of goalkeeper David Raya to secure a point against Atalanta in Bergamo on Thursday (an unusual day for Champions League football).


While it may be premature to label a matchday five encounter between Manchester City and Arsenal as decisive in the title race, the significance of this clash is undeniable. 


Last season, Pep Guardiola's side edged the Gunners by just two points to clinch their fourth consecutive Premier League crown. This margin underscores how crucial head-to-head battles like this can be, especially between two main title contenders.


Manchester City Betting Preview (-125 at EveryGame)


City's current Premier League winning streak now stands at an astonishing 13 matches, and they have the chance to make history as the first team to win each of their opening five league games in five separate campaigns. However, the last team to take points off them in the Premier League? None other than current opponents Arsenal.


In this corresponding match last season, neither side could break the deadlock in a tense 0-0 draw, a result that contributed to Man City's ongoing 32-match unbeaten run at the Etihad in the Premier League (26 wins and six draws). Their latest performance, a 2-1 comeback victory over Brentford right after the international break, kept that streak alive, and Pep Guardiola's men will feel confident of extending it, given their impressive nine-game unbeaten run against Arsenal in home top-flight games (7-2-0).


However, City will need to improve on their recent performance, having been held to a 0-0 draw by Serie A powerhouse Inter Milan in midweek UEFA Champions League action. Just over a year ago, Rodri's decisive strike against the Nerazzurri helped Manchester City claim their long-awaited Champions League title. Still, neither the Spanish midfielder nor Erling Haaland could find a breakthrough against a resolute Inter defense midweek. In City's first European outing of the new format, they failed to replicate their typical attacking prowess, with Ilkay Gundogan squandering a golden-headed chance.


That draw against Inter Milan ended City's flawless start to the 2024-25 campaign. Still, they maintained a perfect Premier League record thanks to another Haaland-inspired victory over Brentford last weekend. Haaland, who has now scored nine goals in just four league games - breaking Wayne Rooney's previous record - was quick to respond to Yoane Wissa's opener in classic fashion, keeping the Sky Blues two points clear at the top. 


Despite that slight dip in form, Pep Guardiola holds a distinct advantage over his former assistant Mikel Arteta in the Premier League, winning seven of their nine meetings (losing one). Furthermore, Guardiola has won more matches against Arsenal (20) than against any other club in his managerial career, further cementing his dominance over the Gunners.


All eyes will be on Erling Haaland. Not only because of his outstanding form, but the Norwegian is just one goal away from joining Manchester City's prestigious '100 club'. Interestingly, both of Haaland's career goals against Arsenal have come after the 80th minute. In contrast, seven of his nine league goals this season have been scored before halftime, highlighting his early impact on matches. 


Injuries threaten to play a key role in Sunday's blockbuster showdown, with both teams missing their chief creators. For the Cityzens, Kevin De Bruyne is not expected to be risked as the Belgian playmaker continues to recover from a groin injury sustained in the Champions League. Pep Guardiola, never one to give too much away, hinted that De Bruyne is progressing well but won't take any chances, especially with Phil Foden fit and ready to step into the starting lineup.


However, De Bruyne isn't the only player missing from Guardiola's squad. Nathan Ake and Oscar Bobb are also sidelined, leaving Pep Guardiola with some tactical decisions to make, especially in defense. Captain Kyle Walker is likely to return to the starting side and could be tasked with nullifying Arsenal's left-wing threat.


Arsenal Betting Preview (+400 at EveryGame)


A day after Man City was frustrated by Inter, Arsenal experienced a similar outcome against Europa League champions Atalanta. Mikel Arteta's men owed their share of the spoils to David Raya, who made a spectacular double save to deny Mateo Retegui from both the penalty spot and the rebound. Arteta and pundits alike praised the save as one of the best they'd seen, highlighting its significance in securing a valuable Champions League point on Italian soil.


However, the Gunners' lack of attacking threat without captain Martin Odegaard was apparent. Much like their midweek display, Arsenal struggled to create dangerous chances in the North London derby last weekend. Still, a set-piece goal from Gabriel Magalhaes secured bragging rights over Tottenham and kept Arsenal second in the table, just two points behind their opponents.


Arsenal's ability to grind out results away from the Emirates has been quite impressive, and they now stand on the verge of Premier League history. The Gunners have not trailed in any of their last 11 away top-flight matches (winning 10 of them), and avoiding a deficit here would make them the first club in the competition's history to achieve that feat in 12 successive away games. However, their last victory at the Etihad came in 2015, and they have often found themselves trailing at halftime in recent visits.


Still, Arteta will argue that his team has made strides in closing the gap to Manchester City, having won two of the three encounters between the clubs last season. Arsenal began their Champions League campaign with a 0-0 away draw against Atalanta, but domestically, they are already two points behind City after four matches (three wins and one draw).


Arteta will be acutely aware that allowing that gap to grow to five points could make the task of dethroning the reigning champions even more daunting for a club that hasn't lifted the Premier League trophy since the glorious 'Invincibles' 2003-04 season.


Martin Odegaard's absence is a significant blow, with Arteta confirming that his captain will be out "for a while" with an ankle issue. The Arsenal boss also has concerns over Kieran Tierney, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Takehiro Tomiyasu, and summer signing Mikel Merino, but Riccardo Calafiori and Bukayo Saka were fit enough to feature midweek, and Declan Rice has returned from suspension.


Up front, neither Gabriel Martinelli nor Gabriel Jesus made much of an impact against Atalanta, which could give former City attacker Raheem Sterling a chance to make his first start for Arsenal at the Etihad. However, Leandro Trossard remains the favorite to get the nod over Sterling unless Martinelli keeps his place in the starting lineup for now.


Gabriel Magalhaes, whose header secured a valuable 1-0 triumph in the North London derby last weekend, faces a daunting task. The Brazilian defender has lost more matches against Man City (six) than any other opponent in his career.


Possible Starting Lineups of Manchester City and Arsenal


  • Manchester City: Ederson - Josko Gvardiol, Ruben Dias, Manuel Akanji - Savinho, Mateo Kovacic, Rodri, Kyle Walker - Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden - Erling Haaland. (3-4-2-1)
  • Arsenal: David Raya - Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhaes, Jurrien Timber - Thomas Partey, Jorginho, Declan Rice - Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Martinelli. (4-3-3) 


Spooky Express Betting Prediction 


The Gunners have kept clean sheets in nine of their last ten Premier League away games, but they'll need another defensive masterclass to contain Manchester City's firepower and continue that impressive streak.


Given the toothless attacking displays both teams put in during midweek and the absence of creative forces like Kevin De Bruyne and Odegaard, another cagey encounter seems likely at the Etihad. 


Haaland may be in red-hot form domestically, but Arsenal's defense - arguably one of the strongest in the world right now - could neutralize the Norwegian. While many expect that another low-scoring affair might be on the cards in this top-of-the-table clash, there is a reason why the Premier League has the reputation of being the most spectacular league. 


Spooky Express Free Play: Both teams to score - Yes -105 at EveryGame for 6/10 Units