Race 4 - DIRT - MAIDEN

• 1 - HE’s JUST LUCKY - Saez/Amoss. Second time starter faded in debut at 6F, should improve and that makes this one legit.


• 6 - BENJI STAR - Cohen/Stidham. Another second time starter who closed hard for third in career debut. Speed set up will work well here for this horse. 


• 11 - WISH CAREFULLY - Torres/Lovell.  Superior Beyers compared to others here. Should rate and close, but the horse does not appear to like to win.

Preferred order -  6-11-1

Race 6 - DIRT - MAIDEN

• 4 - LA LA ROSE - Pedroza/Foley. Second time starter that closed for second in debut here on this track. Stretches out just a bit and that can only help.


• 10 - HARBOR SPRINGS - Graham/Foley. Second time started with a 69 Beyer in debut while closing late to get third. Any pace set up here and this one will be rolling late.


• 11 - GOURMET - Rosario/Asmussen. Winstar Farms barn with a horse that has bullet works for debut. Should be in the mix.

Preferred order - 4 -10-11

Race 7 - DIRT - Maiden

• 2 - BANNED FOR LIFE - Lanerie/Stall Jr. No doubt this one tries to go wire to wire. Stall likes to have horses with speed first out. I prefer to see Paco Lopez here, but Lanerie is no joke, I just prefer him closing. Have to see how this horse decided to run.


• 4 - DISCREET MISCHIEF -  Geroux/Cox. First time starter with a great combo in rider and trainer. Hit at 26% with firsters. Sire is INTO MISCHIEF who fire really well the first time out.


• 11 - HIGGINS BOAT - Gaffalione/Amoss.. Third race of the form cycle. The RIder switch should help here. Should rate and close, if this one tries to go wire to wire I think it is trouble.

Preferred order - 4 - 11 - 2

Race 12 - THE FAIRGROUNDS - Grade 2 - TURF

• 3 - STRONG QUALITY - Geroux/Casse. Top Beyers in here, winning two of the last three races, last one on this turf course. Stretches out just a bit and that is concerning to me.


• 8 - CAMP HOPE - Hernandez/McPeek. If I learned anything a few weeks ago it is never underestimate this combo going long. Has faced good competition of late and has been very consistent speed wise. Fast fractions will help.  


• 10 - BEATBOX - Rosrio/DeVaux. Closing horse who has just missed the last three races at 1 1/16 coming in second in all. The extra distance just may help. Must use.

Preferred order -  10 - 3 - 8

Race 13 - THE RACHEL ALEXANDRA - Grade 2 - DIRT

• 4 - INTRICATE - Gaffalione/Walsh. Another very lethal combo. One of only two closer in this race (TARIFA). Fast pace will only help this horse.  Must use.


• 6 - V V’s DREAM - Hernandez/McPeek. Lethal combo on home track. Horse did this distance in 1:44 at Keeneland to come in second. Rate and closer. Big shot at winning.


• 7 - WEST OMAHA - Saez/Cox. Horse does 1 mile and 70 yards in 1:43, just a bit shorter than this distance. Did it here on this track. Not sold on the win, but exotics for sure.

Preferred order -  4-1-7-6

Race 14 - THE RISEN STAR - Grade 2 - DIRT

• 4 - SIERRA LEONE - Gaffalione/Chad Brown. Paid 2.3 million for this horse from GUN RUNNER, I expect a solid effort. Third career start with  91 Beyer last out on a sloppy track. Was it the track or did the horse improve that much the second time out? Still, worth a shot.


• 5 - MOONLIGHT - Geroux/Pletcher. Last two races have been in the slop in Graded Stakes races and this horse came closing late each race. Prior to that this horse had a 90 Beyer on a dry track. This one takes this and improves it at a nice price.


• 7 - HALL OF FAME - Santana/Asmussen. We bet this horse last month and he won with ease winning by 10L at 1 1/16 miles here at this track. Had some pace pressure and still drew off to win. Lethal combo as well. Must use.


• 12 - BEE DANCER - Lanerie/Stewart. Here is my longshot.  Horse ran in a 6F race and closed to win by a length. Trainer is so good on the stretch out. If this horse can rate and close it will be a huge price, if this one tries to go for the lead, it will be toast.  Chance you take.

Preferred order of finish.   4-7-12-5