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Horse Racing Picks by Stogie

July 13, 2024


Saratoga Race 9


  • 8 Irish Aces sports a big class edge versus his competition today. He exits from a strong third by a 2-length margin in the Grade 3 Arlington at Churchill. Gelding pressed a fast pace that day and still fought gamely to the wire. He faces a much softer group of animals today. Top Pick
  • 1 Tidal Forces is training nicely for trainer Fernando Abreu, as highlighted by a recent 1/29 bullet. If this gelding can run back to his third-place finish in the Appleton Handicap, where he nearly defeated a very good horse in Smokin T, he can pull the upset here. Live Longshot
  • 7 Georgie W returned from a nearly 11-month hiatus to run third versus a very salty group of Allowance/ Optional 80K 2X foes. He now makes a second start off the bench and gets an upgrade in the Jock department to Irad Ortiz Jr. Major Threat


Selections 8-1-7-4-10



Saratoga Race 10 Diana Stakes Grade 1


  • 4 Didia is an 11-time winner in just 17 career starts and is a perfect 2 for 2 at this mile and an eighth-distance. Mare has the tactical speed to get a good position early in the race and rarely has a troubled trip. Jockey Jose Ortiz has guided this gal in her last three races, winning two of them, including the Grade 1 New York, over this turf course. Win Contender
  • 8 Neecie Marie has the best late-pace numbers of this very talented field. Filly should get a quick early pace upfront to set up her late surge. Live Longshot
  • 10 Chili Flag is another closer here who will need it fast early. She won the Grade 1 Just a Game over this turf course a month ago. The mare will stretch out an extra eighth of a mile today. Major Treat
  • 2 Coppice can make some noise in here with a clean trip. Don't Ignore


Selections 4-8-10-2


Saratoga Race 11 Sanford Stakes Grade 3


  • 6 Studlydoright- impressive victory last out the Tremont Stakes when facing winners for the first time. Youngster bobbled at the start, ran mid-pack, andfinished with authority. The Colts will likely get an ideal pace setup today. Top Pick
  • 5 Three Echoes chased the pace last out and tired deep in the stretch. Look for the connections to change tactics today. I love that Flavien Prat rides back today. Win Contender
  • 8 Mo Plex was a 10-length winner in debut at the Big A versus NY Breds. Colt posted a nice speed figure for such a youngster. Don't Overlook


Selections 6-5-8-1



Woodbine Race 8 My Dear Stakes


  • 5 Obliging looked sharp in debut when breaking maiden on the dirt at Monmouth Park. Filly does have the pedigree to take to the All-Weather surface here. Gal sports two-bullet works coming in. Win Contender
  • 4 Bound to be True won his debut over this Tapeta surface here at Woodbine by over 5 lengths. Win Contender
  • 7 Bullet won a Stakes race on debut when running on the turf down in South Florida. Filly has been training extremely well on the Tapeta surface here. Deserving Favorite


Selections 5-4-7-8