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Horse Racing Picks by Stogie

April 14, 2024


Aqueduct Race 3 Top Flight Stakes


  • 3 Tizzy in the Sky- exits from a 4th place finish in the Grade 3 Royal Delta down in South Florida. I didn’t care for the ride and trip that day, so I’ll forgive that effort. Mare is now back at the Big A, where she’s won 3 of 6 starts and two at this distance. Add aggressive rider Kendrick Carmouche to the mix, and we have a recipe for a victory. Win Contender

  • 1 Comparative- is a perfect 2 for two here at Aqueduct for trainer Brad Cox. Filly disappointed in the Grade 2 Azeri last out, but gal fits well here with the drop in class, Win Contender

  • 5 Movie Moxy- has been a solid performer versus softer and should have a hard time finishing ahead of the top 2 in this event. Use Underneath

Selections 3-1-5-4

 

Aqueduct Race 5 New York Stallion Stakes


  • 7 Doc Sullivan- cuts back from a mile after finishing second in a local NY Bred Stakes race. The Colts should get an ideal trip off the pace today and run them down late. She sports the best late pace numbers of this group, Top Pick

  • 3 Heavyweight Champs- ran a career top last out when breaking Maiden here by over six lengths. The only bad race for this lightly raced Gelding was in the mud. She catches a fast strip today. She’ll be tough in here, Win Contender

  • 4 Antonio of Venice- defeated a depleted field of 4 last out in a local Stakes here by a geared down nine lengths, likely will get some company early, Colt just might be good enough to thwart the early pressure, Major Threat

Selections 7-6-4-2

 

Aqueduct Race 8 New York Stallion Stakes


  • 6 Sohana- Filly got caught up in a speed duel early last out in the mud here at Aqueduct and tired late. Look for Jockey Manny Franco to change tactics today. I expect this Brad Cox trainee to move forward today in her fourth career start, Win Contender

  • 8 Sunday Girl- smashing debut here two months ago, breaking Maiden by over seven lengths while running a solid number. Any repeat of that effort puts this gal right there at the wire, Win Contender

  • 7 My Shea D Lady- Filly has been training exceptionally well for her return from a four-month layoff, Major Threat

Selections 6-8-7-4

 

Keeneland Race 9


  • 1 Ohana Honor- closer who should relish the added distance today. I’m concerned that the early pace could be slow, but I love that Flavien Prat gets the call. Prat is a master in these marathons on the lawn. If this Colt gets a decent pace up front, he’ll run them down late, Win Contender

  • 7 Foreign Relations- has back class and has shown promising early foot in these Marathons. With the lack of speed in here, Gelding has the potential to lull them asleep on the front end and take this group gate to wire, Win Contender

  • 4 High Tide- is in fine form, Don’t Ignore

Selections 1-7-4-10