BookMaker has the North Carolina State Wolfpack listed as 9.5-point favorites against the Louisville Cardinals in the 1st round of the ACC tournament on Tuesday afternoon. North Carolina State has won the last three games in the series against Louisville which includes an 89-83 win this season on the road, however, Louisville covered the spread in two of the three losses and has covered the spread in seven of the last ten games in the series.
Louisville has failed to cover the spread in their last seven games and NC State hasn’t fared much better as they have only covered the spread in two of their last six games. NC State has won the last three games in the series against the Cardinals, however, the Cardinals have covered the spread in two of the three losses including covering the spread in the game earlier this season as a 7.5-point home underdog. The Wolfpack will get the win here but I expect the game to be closer than the line indicates which is why I am buying the .5 point and taking the points with the Cardinals in the 1st round of the ACC tournament.