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Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo

February 17, 2024


The main card on UFC 298 offers a stacked lineup of fights, with one battle worth checking out being a bantamweight showdown as second-ranked Merab Dvalishvili taking on third-ranked Henry Cejudo. The battles take place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, with main card action kicking off at 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 17. Dvalishvili currently comes in with a moderate -223 moneyline advantage.

Merab Dvalishvili Betting Preview

After losing his first two fights in the UFC, Dvalishvili has since won his last nine battles and offers excellent momentum coming into this one. His previous success was a unanimous decision over Petr Yan at UFC Fight Night 221 in March of last year.

He boasts 16 victories, including three knockouts, one submission, and 12 decisions. His primary method of winning is through decisions, with only one first-round finish.

Nicknamed "The Machine," he showcases a 41 percent striking accuracy and a 36 percent takedown success rate. His significant strike rate stands at 4.46 per minute, while his absorption rate is 2.21, presenting a favorable positive ratio.

Within a 15-minute UFC timeframe, Dvalishvili averages 6.55 takedowns and 0.27 submissions. His defensive skills are impressive, with a 57 percent success rate against significant strikes and a remarkable 79 percent success rate against takedowns.

Henry Cejudo Betting Preview

Cejudo had his six-fight win streak snapped from 2020 when he decided to come back to fighting. This latest defeat was a split decision against Aljamain Sterling at UFC 288 in May of last year.

He secured 16 victories, evenly split between eight knockouts and eight decisions. Among his wins, five ended in the first round, while he faced two decision defeats out of three total losses.

"Triple C" upholds a 47 percent striking accuracy and a 34 percent success rate in takedowns. His significant strike rate registers at 3.93 per minute, countered by an absorption rate of 3.15, leaving minimal room for striking errors.

In his 15-minute UFC bouts, Cejudo averages 2.07 takedowns. He also showcases defensive prowess with a 61 percent success rate against significant strikes and an 83 percent success rate against takedown attempts.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie unveils impressive UFC 298 odds, positioning Merab Dvalishvili as a modest favorite (-223) for victory. Bettors may consider including him in a parlay with other bouts or opting for a prop bet that offers potentially higher payouts compared to the moneyline.

Cejudo has an excellent resume and stunned many fans when he retired in 2020. Now back in the Octagon, he has stated that he will retire immediately if he loses to Dvalishvili. Unfortunately, this will likely happen as Dvalishvili is a rising star that will be too much for the older Cejudo.

Final Pick: Merab Dvalishvili -223