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MLB Betting Pick & Prediction: Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

September 29, 2023

The Houston Astros and Arizona Diamondbacks begin their final three-game series of the regular season. Can the Astros find success to kick off this showdown in the road?

  • Date: Game 1 on September 28, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET

  • Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Astros recently had success against the Seattle Mariners, winning two out of three games. They have another tough test on their hands, especially playing on the road against a team that also needs wins for a playoff push. J.P. France (11-6, 3.83 ERA)  is on the mound, but will need a good start to help them.

Their batting average is great at .259 and they have a slugging percentage at .438. These are slightly better than what the Diamondbacks offer, signaling slightly better chances at the plate.

From the mound, they allow teams to bat .243 at the plate and have a team ERA of 4.00. These are also slightly better than the Diamondbacks, which will play a role here.

As for getting on base, they have a percentage at .332. With all of these slight advantages everywhere you look, the Astros seem to have a better hand coming into this matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Diamondbacks need to continue piling on wins in order to make the playoffs. They have done well in that regard, as they just had a successful series against the Chicago White Sox prior to this series. Zac Gallen (17-8, 3.49 ERA) takes the start on the mound and has a slightly better chance at doing better than France.

They have a batting average at .252 and a slugging percentage at .413. These are respectable, but they must aim for better numbers at the plate for this game.

They have allowed teams to average .252 at the plate, while also maintaining an ERA of 4.51. If they want a chance to win, they will need to be stronger from the mound.

They typically get on base with a percentage of .323, which slightly trails the Astros. They will need an enhanced performance all around in order to claim victory.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie's has their latest offering of odds slightly favoring the Arizona Diamondbacks to win. Compared to market analysis, the Diamondbacks have a 52.8 percent probability of winning game one.

Houston Astros: +110

Arizona Diamondbacks: -130

Both teams are needing wins to stay within reach of the playoffs. On paper, the Astros are slightly better in nearly every category on both offense and defense. The Astros have faced tougher situations recently, but they have a good chance to win here.

Spooky Express Pick: Take the Houston Astros to Win at +110