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MLB Betting Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets

September 12, 2023



This matchup features a team in the Wild Card race in the National League against a team that has failed to live up to expectations this season when the Arizona Diamondbacks travel to take on the New York Mets in game two of a four-game series with the Diamondbacks taking game one of the series by a score of 4-3. Which team will take game two of the series on Tuesday? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing this season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter this game with a record of 76-69 which puts them 12.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for 1st place in the NL West and gives the Diamondbacks a 1.5-game lead for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Diamondbacks have compiled a record of 7-4 in September which includes a 4-3 win in game one of the series on the road against the New York Mets. Two of the runs for Arizona came in the 4th inning which included Tommy Pham scoring off a base hit from Evan Longoria.

New York enters this game with a record of 65-78 which puts them 28.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves for 1st place in the NL East and 10 games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. 

The Mets have compiled a record of 4-5 in September which includes Monday’s 3-4 loss at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks in game one of the series. All three runs for New York came in the 4th inning which included a one-run home run hit by Jeff McNeil.

BookMaker has the New York Mets listed as -113 money line favorites at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks for game two of the series on Tuesday. New York has won seven of the last ten and two of the last three games in the series while winning by an average margin of 2.5 runs per game over the last ten and 3 runs per game over the last three games.

New York will have the advantage at pitcher on Tuesday as the Mets will send Jose Butto to the mound while the Diamondbacks will send Ryne Nelson to the mound for game two of the series. Butto is 0-2 this season with a 3.86 ERA while recording 16 strikeouts while Nelson is 7-7 on the year with an ERA of 5.30 and has recorded 85 strikeouts.

Jose Butto is 0-1 with two no-decisions in his last three starts this season while allowing a total of six runs and recording 13 strikeouts in those contests with his last start coming against the Washington Nationals on the road in which Butto allowed two runs and struck out six in a no-decision.

In his last three starts this season, Ryne Nelson is 1-2 while allowing 13 runs and recording 10 strikeouts in those starts with his last start coming on the road against the Chicago Bears in which Nelson allowed one run and struck out three in a win.

Arizona enters this game with a better record, however, New York has been the better team in the series, winning seven of the last ten and two of the last three games. The Mets have won by an average margin of 2.5 runs per game over the last ten and 3 runs per game over the last three games in the series. The Mets will also have the advantage at pitcher in game two which is why I am taking the money line for the New York Mets at -113 for game two of the series on BookMaker.

Spooky Express Pick: New York Mets Money Line (-113)