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MLB Betting Preview: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros

September 20, 2023




This matchup features two of the best teams in the American League when the Baltimore Orioles travel to take on the Houston Astros in game three of a three-game series in which the Orioles took the first two games including a 9-5 win in game two of the series on Tuesday. Will the Baltimore Orioles complete the three-game series sweep or will the Astros end their two-game losing streak? Let’s take a look at how these teams have fared this season.

The Baltimore Orioles enter this game with a record of 95-56 which gives them the best record in the American League and gives them a 2.5-game lead for 1st place in the AL East. Baltimore has compiled a record of 12-6 in September and is on a four-game winning streak which includes a 9-5 win on the road against the Houston Astros in game two of the series. Three of the runs for the Orioles came in the 3rd inning when Austin Hays hit a three-run home run that also scored Anthony Santander and Ryan O’Hearn.

Houston enters this game with a record of 84-68 which puts them in 1st place in the AL West and gives them a .5-game lead over the Seattle Mariners for 1st place in the division. The Astros have compiled a record of 7-10 in September and are on a two-game losing streak which includes Tuesday’s 5-9 loss against the Baltimore Orioles. Two of the runs for the Houston Astros came in the 1st inning when Kyle Tucker hit a two-run home run that also scored Jose Altuve.

BookMaker has the Houston Astros listed as -120 money line favorites at home against the Baltimore Orioles for game three of the series on Wednesday afternoon. The teams have split the last ten games in the series, however, Baltimore has outscored Houston by an average of 5.2 to 5.1 runs per game in those matchups while winning the previous three matchups in a row by an average margin of 2 runs per game in those contests.

Baltimore has a slight advantage at pitcher on Wednesday as the Orioles will send Kyle Bradish to the mound while the Astros will send Cristian Javier to the mound for game three of the series. Bradish is 11-7 this season with a 3.12 ERA while recording 150 strikeouts while Javier is 9-4 on the year with an ERA of 4.74 and has recorded 138 strikeouts.

Kyle Bradish is 2-1 in his last three starts this season while allowing a total of eight runs while recording 20 strikeouts in those matchups with his last start coming at home against the Tampa Bay Rays in which Bradish allowed four runs and recorded 5 strikeouts in a loss. 

In his last three starts this season, Cristian Javier is 0-2 with a no-decision while allowing a total of nine runs while recording 19 strikeouts in those starts with his last start coming on the road against the Kansas City Royals in which Javier allowed two runs while recording six strikeouts in a loss.

Baltimore enters this game with a better record and has been the better team most recently in the series, winning the previous three matchups in a row. The Orioles have won by an average margin of 2 runs per game over the last three games in the series. As a result, I am taking the money line for the Baltimore Orioles at +100 on BookMaker for this matchup on Wednesday afternoon.

Spooky Express Pick: Baltimore Orioles Money Line (+100)