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MLB Betting Preview: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

September 12, 2023





This matchup features two teams that still have a slight chance of making the playoffs in the AL as they are still in the Wild Card race in the American League when the New York Yankees travel to take on the Boston Red Sox in game one of a four-game series. The Yankees are coming off a 1-2 series loss at home against the Milwaukee Brewers which ended with a 4-3 win in game three of the series on Sunday while the Red Sox are coming off a 1-2 series loss at home against the Baltimore Orioles which ended with Sunday’s 7-3 win in game three of the series. 

Which team will come away with the win in game one of the series on Tuesday afternoon? Let’s take a look at how these teams have fared this season.

The New York Yankees enter this game with a record of 71-72 which puts them 20 games behind the Baltimore Orioles for 1st place in the AL East and 8 games behind the Texas Rangers for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. The Yankees have compiled a record of 6-3 in September which includes a 4-3 win in game three of their series against the Milwaukee Brewers which also ended their three-game losing streak. Two of the runs for the Yankees came in the 12th inning when Giancarlo Stanton hit a two-run home run that also scored Gleyber Torres.

Boston enters this game with a record of 73-70 which puts them 18 games behind the Baltimore Orioles for 1st place in the AL East and 6 games behind the Texas Rangers for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. The Red Sox have compiled a record of 4-5 in September but are coming off a 7-3 win at home in game three of their series against the Baltimore Orioles which also ended their four-game losing streak. Three of the runs for the Red Sox came in the 6th inning when Triston Casas hit a three-run home run that also scored Ceddanne Rafaela and Rafael Devers.

BookMaker has the Boston Red Sox listed as -148 money line favorites at home against the New York Yankees in game one of the series on Tuesday. Boston has won eight of the last ten including the previous six matchups in a row while winning by an average margin of 2.8 runs per game over the last ten and 4.33 runs per game over the last three games in the series.

New York will send Randy Vasquez to the mound while Boston will send Nick Pivetta to the mound for game one of the series on Tuesday. Vasquez is 2-2 this season with a 2.36 ERA while recording 22 strikeouts while Pivetta is 9-8 on the year with an ERA of 4.54 and has recorded 150 strikeouts.

Randy Vasquez is 0-1 with two no-decisions in his last three starts this season while allowing three runs and recording ten strikeouts in those games with his last start coming at home against the Detroit Tigers in which Vasquez allowed one run and struck out five batters in a no-decision.

In his last three starts this season, Nick Pivetta is 0-2 with a no-decision while allowing a total of eight runs and recording 13 strikeouts in those contests with his last start coming on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays in which Pivetta allowed three runs and struck out five in a loss.

Boston enters this game with a slightly better record and has been the better team in the series, winning eight of the last ten including the last six matchups in a row. The Red Sox have won by an average margin of 2.8 runs per game over the last ten and 4.33 runs per game over the last three games in the series. As a result, I am taking the money line for the Boston Red Sox at -148 on BookMaker for this matchup on Tuesday afternoon.

Spooky Express Pick: Boston Red Sox Money Line (-148)