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MLB Betting Preview: Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins

September 20, 2023


This matchup features a pair of teams that could make the playoffs this season when the Minnesota Twins travel to take on the Cincinnati Reds in game three of a three-game series in which the teams have split the first two games with the Twins winning game two on Tuesday by a score of 7-0. Which team will come away with the win in the series by winning game three on Wednesday? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing this season.

The Minnesota Twins enter this game with a record of 80-72 which puts them in 1st place in the AL Central and gives them an 8-game lead over the Cleveland Guardians for 1st place in the division. Minnesota has compiled a record of 11-7 in September which includes a 7-0 win on the road against the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday. Two of the runs for the Twins came in the 7th inning when Willi Castro hit a two-run home run that also scored Max Kepler.

Cincinnati enters this game with a record of 79-74 which puts them 7 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for 1st place in the NL Central and 1 game behind the Chicago Cubs for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Reds have compiled a record of 10-8 in September but are coming off Tuesday’s 0-7 shutout loss at home against the Minnesota Twins with the shutout being the 10th shutout loss of the season.

BookMaker has the Cincinnati Reds listed as -112 money line favorites at home against the Minnesota Twins for game three of the series on Wednesday. Cincinnati has won six of the last ten and two of the last three games while winning by an average margin of .6 runs per game over the last ten games in the series.

Minnesota will have the advantage at pitcher for game three of the series as the Twins will send Bailey Ober to the mound while the Reds will send Hunter Greene to the mound on Wednesday. Ober is 7-6 this season with a 3.67 ERA while recording 126 strikeouts while Greene is 4-6 on the year with an ERA of 4.45 and has recorded 129 strikeouts.

Bailey Ober is 1-0 with two no-decisions in his last three starts this season while allowing a total of nine runs while recording 13 strikeouts in those matchups with his last start coming on the road against the Chicago White Sox in which Ober allowed two runs and recorded six strikeouts in a win.

In his last three starts this season, Hunter Greene is 2-0 with a no-decision while allowing three runs and recording 21 strikeouts in those starts with his last start coming on the road against the New York Mets in which Greene allowed three runs and struck out six batters in a no-decision.

Minnesota enters this game with a slightly better record, however, Cincinnati has been the better team in the series, winning six of the last ten and two of the last three games while winning by an average margin of .6 runs per game over the last ten matchups. As a result, I am taking the money line for the Cincinnati Reds at -112 on BookMaker for this matchup on Wednesday.

Spooky Express Pick: Cincinnati Reds -112