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MLB Betting Preview: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners

September 27, 2023

The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners will battle it out on Wednesday Night with postseason hopes on the line. This game is slated to take place from the T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington, with the first pitch scheduled for 9:40 PM.

Both teams are in a heated AL West division race along with the Texas Rangers and this series is likely to play a pivotal role in not only deciding the division winner but also the spots in the American League Wild Card race. The Houston Astros will travel to take on the Seattle Mariners in game three of a three-game series with the teams splitting the first two games with the Mariners winning game two on Tuesday night by a score of 6-2. Which team will come away with the series win by winning game three on Wednesday? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are faring this season.

The Houston Astros enter this game with a record of 86-72 which puts them 2.5 games behind the Texas Rangers for 1st place in the AL West and gives them a .5-game lead over the Seattle Mariners for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Houston has compiled a record of 9-14 in September which includes a 2-6 loss in game two of the series against the Seattle Mariners. One of the runs for the Astros came in the 9th inning when Grae Kessinger scored off a base hit from Jose Altuve.

Seattle enters this game with a record of 85-72 which puts them 3 games behind the Texas Rangers for 1st place in the AL West and .5 games behind the Houston Astros for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. The Mariners have compiled a record of 9-15 in September but finally ended their four-game losing streak with Tuesday’s 6-2 win against the Houston Astros. Three of the runs for the Mariners came in the 5th inning which included Josh Rojas and Julio Rodriguez scoring off a base hit from Cal Raleigh.

BookMaker has the Houston Astros listed as -125 money line favorites on the road against the Seattle Mariners for game three of the series on Wednesday night. Seattle has won eight of the last ten and two of the last three games in the series while winning by an average margin of 1.6 runs per game over the last ten and .33 runs per game over the last three games in the series.

Houston will send Framber Valdez to the mound while Seattle will send Bryce Miller to the mound for game three of the series on Wednesday night. Valdez is 12-11 this season with a 3.39 ERA while recording 193 strikeouts while Miller is 8-6 on the year with an ERA of 4.17 and has recorded 115 strikeouts.

Framber Valdez is 1-2 in his last three starts this season while allowing a total of nine runs and recording 25 strikeouts in those matchups with his last start coming at home against the Kansas City Royals in which Valdez allowed six runs while recording ten strikeouts in a loss.

In his last three starts this season, Bryce Miller is 0-2 with a no-decision while allowing a total of 11 runs and recording 13 strikeouts in those starts with his last start coming on the road against the Texas Rangers in which Miller allowed six runs and struck out two batters in a loss.

Houston enters this game with a slightly better record, however, Seattle has been the better team in the series, winning eight of the last ten and two of the last three games. The Mariners have won by an average margin of 1.6 runs per game over the last ten and .33 runs per game over the last three games in the series. As a result, I am taking the money line for the Seattle Mariners at +105 at home against the Houston Astros for game three of the series on BookMaker.

Spooky Express Pick: Seattle Mariners Money Line (+105)