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MLB Betting Preview: New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twins

September 10, 2023




This matchup features a team that failed to live up to expectations this season against a team that is almost certain to make the playoffs as the New York Mets travel to take on the Minnesota Twins in game three of a three-game series in which the Twins have won the first two games. Will the Minnesota Twins complete the three-game sweep at home or will the Mets end their three-game losing streak? Let’s take a closer look at how these teams are faring this season.

The New York Mets enter this game with a record of 64-77 which puts them in 4th place in the NL East 28 games behind the Atlanta Braves for 1st place in the NL East and 10 games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. New York has compiled a record of 3-4 in September and is on a three-game losing streak which includes a 4-8 loss on the road against the Minnesota Twins in game two of the series on Saturday. Two of the runs for the Mets came in the 8th inning which included one-run home runs hit by Pete Alonso and DJ Stewart.

Minnesota enters this game with a record of 75-67 which puts them in 1st place in the AL Central and puts them 7.5 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for 1st place in the division. The Twins have compiled a record of 6-2 in September and are on a two-game winning streak which includes Saturday’s 8-4 win at home against the New York Mets in game two of the series. Four of the eight runs for Minnesota came in the 7th inning which included Alex Kiriloff, Royce Lewis, and Carlos Correa scoring off a triple hit by Max Kepler.

BookMaker has the Minnesota Twins listed as -185 money line favorites at home against the New York Mets in game three of the series on Sunday afternoon. New York has won seven of the last ten while the Twins have won two of the last three games in the series. The Mets have won by an average margin of 1.1 runs per game over the last ten and have outscored the Twins by an average of 6.67 to 5.67 runs per game over the last three games.

Minnesota has the advantage at pitcher on Sunday as the Twins will send Pablo Lopez to the mound while the Mets will send Tylor Megill to the mound for game three of the series. Lopez is 10-7 this season with a 3.64 ERA while recording 199 strikeouts while Megill is 8-7 on the year with an ERA of 5.28 and has recorded 88 strikeouts.

Tylor Megill is 1-1 with a no-decision in his last three starts this season while allowing a total of seven runs and recording 19 strikeouts in those matchups with his last start coming at home against the Seattle Mariners in which Megill allowed three runs and struck out six batters in a win.

In his last three starts this season, Pablo Lopez is 1-1 with a no-decision while allowing a total of nine runs and recording 12 strikeouts in those matchups with his last start coming on the road against the Cleveland Guardians in which Lopez allowed one run and struck out three batters in a win.

Minnesota enters this game with a better record and has been the better team most recently in the series, winning two of the last three games. I look for that trend to continue on Sunday for game three of the series which is why I am taking the money line for the Minnesota Twins at -185 on BookMaker. 

Spooky Express Pick: Minnesota Twins Money Line (-185)