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MLB Betting Preview: San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

September 23, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres have been two of the most disappointing teams this season in the MLB as neither team is going to make the playoffs while the Cardinals will finish with one of their worst records in the last 25 years. San Diego won game one on Friday night by a score of 4-2 which has extended their winning streak to eight games. Will the Padres extend their winning streak to nine games on Saturday or will the Cardinals end their four-game losing streak? Let’s take a look at how these teams have fared this season.

St. Louis is going to finish with a losing record for the first time since the 2007 MLB season as they currently have a record of 67-88 with eight games to go in the regular season. The Cardinals have compiled a record of 9-11 in September and are on a four-game losing streak which includes a 2-4 loss on the road against the San Diego Padres in game one of the series on Friday. Masyn Winn accounted for one of the runs when he hit a one-run home run in the 6th inning. 

The San Diego Padres have been one of the hottest teams in baseball in September compiling a record of 14-5. However, San Diego is still one game under .500 and with only eight games remaining this season are unlikely to make the playoffs as they are in the 7th place in the National League Wild Card Race.

BookMaker has the San Diego Padres listed as -190 money line favorites at home against the St. Louis Cardinals for game two of the series on Saturday night. St. Louis has won six of the last ten and two of the last three games in the series while both teams are averaging 3.3 runs per game over the last ten and 4.33 runs per game over the last three matchups.

The Padres will have the advantage at pitcher on Saturday night as San Diego will send Nick Martinez to the mound while St. Louis will send Jake Woodford to the mound for game two of the series. Martinez is 5-4 this season with a 3.73 ERA while recording 95 strikeouts while Woodford is 2-2 on the year with an ERA of 5.31 and has recorded 28 strikeouts.

Nick Martinez is unlikely to see more than three innings of work on Saturday as he is a relief pitcher, however, over the last seven games that he has pitched Martinez has only allowed one run over 11 innings while recording 12 strikeouts in those matchups.

In his last three starts, Jake Woodford is 1-0 with two no-decisions while allowing a total of four runs while recording five strikeouts in those starts with his last start coming at home against the Milwaukee Brewers in which Woodford didn’t allow a run, and struck out three batters over 2 2/3rd innings pitched.

This has been a tightly contested series of the last ten games, as both teams have averaged 3.3 runs per game over the last ten and 4.33 runs per game over the last three matchups. I look for game two to be another tightly contested contest which is why I am taking the run line for the St. Louis Cardinals at +1.5 on Saturday night for game two of the series on BookMaker. 

Spooky Express Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Run Line +1.5 (-145)