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NBA Betting Pick and Prediction: Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat

November 11, 2023

The Miami Heat (4-4) and Atlanta Hawks (5-3) will compete in Georgia to see which one will extend their winning streak. The Hawks are favorites to win, with a point spread at -4.5 (-110).

  • Date: November 11, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

  • Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia

  • Coverage: NBA League Pass

Miami Heat Preview

The Heat have been victorious in their last three games and aim to extend it. Their most recent win was a 108-102 outing over the Memphis Grizzlies. This also marked their second consecutive game of scoring 108 points.

They are second in the Southeast Division and sixth in the Eastern Conference. A handful of their success has been in part by Tyler Herro (22.9 PPG, 4.6 AST) who leads the team in scoring, but will be out for this game due to a grade two ankle sprain.

They are averaging 107.5 points per game, ranking 27th in the league. Their efficiency with the ball ranks 27th as well, with a rating of 108.1. With Herro out of the lineup, bettors should expect these numbers to be slightly worse.

The Heat’s defense allows 110.1 points per game (11th), which is a major aspect of their success so far. Their efficiency in defense as a whole has a rating of 110.8 (12th). If they can slow down the Hawks, they might have a chance to win.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Hawks had a narrow 120-119 victory over the Orlando Magic in their last game. Trae Young dominated with 41 points and eight assists, but did have three turnovers.

The Hawks are leading in the Southeast Division and need this win to stay ahead of the Heat. They are also fourth in the East. Young leads the team with 24.1 points and 10.1 assists each game.

They are second in the league for points per game at 121.8. They are quite efficient with the ball, with a rating at 118.9 (2nd). This makes them a dangerous team, as the Heat have lost a major weapon on offense.

The Hawks’ defense could get them in trouble, as they allow 117.0 points per game (23rd) and have an efficiency rating of 114.3 (20th). If their offense is having a bad night, their defense might not save them.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie has odds that reveal the Atlanta Hawks are favorites to find success. Looking at market analysis, the Hawks have a 63.7 percent chance to win.

The Heat are going to not have the same looks offensively without Herro in the lineup. They will need to rely on Kyle Lowry (37) to offer veteran experience, which might not be enough. Look for the Hawks to find success.

Spooky Express Pick: Atlanta Hawks -4.5 (-110)