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NBA Betting Pick and Prediction: Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat

November 20, 2023

The Miami Heat will travel to Chicago, Illinois to face the Chicago Bulls at the United Center with the game scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET on Monday night and will air on NBC Chicago and the SUN network.

Miami already lost to Chicago on Saturday by a score of 97-102 which also ended their seven-game winning streak and will be looking to avenge that loss on Monday night. The Miami Heat enter this game in 4th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 8-5. The Heat play at a slower-than-average tempo in the NBA and that is the reason why they are a below-average scoring team while having one of the better-scoring defenses as they enter this game averaging the 6th fewest points per game in the league with an average of 109.62 points per game while allowing the 7th fewest points per game with an average of 109.62 points allowed per game. 

Despite the win on Saturday against the Miami Heat, the Chicago Bulls remain one of the worst teams in the NBA as they enter this matchup with a record of 5-9 which puts them in 12th place in the Eastern Conference. However, the win against the Heat on Saturday ended their three-game losing streak. The Bulls remain one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NBA as they are averaging the 2nd fewest points per game this season with an average of 107.21 points per game while allowing the 8th fewest points per game with an average of 110.5 points per game and will be facing another team that likes to play at a slower pace when they host the Miami Heat on Monday night. 

BookMaker has the Miami Heat listed as 1.5-point favorites on the road against the Chicago Bulls on Monday night. The teams are 5-5 in the last ten meetings while Chicago has won two of the last three matchups. Both teams are 5-5 ATS in the last ten while the Bulls are 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. The Miami Heat are 5-8 ATS overall, 4-4 ATS on the road, and 3-6 ATS as a favorite this season while the Chicago Bulls are 5-8-1 ATS overall, 3-5-1 ATS at home, and 3-2-1 ATS as an underdog this season.

The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls have similar philosophies when it comes to basketball as they both like to play at a slower pace than the league average which causes them to be one of the lower-scoring teams while having two of the better-scoring defenses statistically as the Heat allowing the 7th fewest points per game while the Bulls allow the 8th fewest. The trend in the series has mirrored their philosophies as well and the under has hit in the previous four meetings. I look for the under to hit once again to make it 5 games in a row which is why I am buying the .5 point and taking the under 211 points on Monday night when the Miami Heat travel to face the Chicago Bulls.

Spooky Express Pick: Under 211 Points