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NBA Betting Pick and Prediction: Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat

November 30, 2023



Game one of the double-header on NBA TV will feature the Indiana Pacers traveling to Miami, Florida to face the Miami Heat on Thursday evening at the Kaseya Center with tip-off scheduled for 7:30 PM ET.

Indiana has been one of the better teams in the Eastern Conference this season as they enter this game in 6th place in the conference with a record of 9-7, however, they have lost two of their last three games including Monday’s 110-114 loss at home against the Portland Trail Blazers. The early season success for the Indiana Pacers can be attributed to their scoring as they are the top-scoring team in the league and are averaging 127.63 points per game. 

Tyrese Haliburton has played a pivotal role in the success the team is having offensively as he leads the team in scoring with an average of 25.9 points per game and leads the team in assists with an average of 11.9 points per game. However, the Pacers like to play at a fast tempo which has led them to allow a lot of points, in fact, they are allowing the most points per game in the NBA with an average of 124.75 points per game. The Indiana Pacers will look to bounce back following Monday’s loss at home when they travel to face the Miami Heat on Thursday evening.

The Miami Heat have been an above-average team this season as they enter this game in 7th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 10-8, however, they have struggled over their last three games as they have lost all three games and Bam Adebayo has been playing at less than 100% with a hip injury and will be a game-time decision, however, he played in the last game for the Heat against the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. 

The Heat like to play at a slower tempo than the average NBA team which has led them to allowing the 8th fewest points per game in the league with an average of 109.11 points allowed per game, however, they are also averaging the 8th fewest points per game in the NBA with an average of 110.61 points per game. The Heat will look to snap their three-game losing streak when they host the Indiana Pacers.

BookMaker has the Miami Heat listed as 1.5-point favorites at home against the Indiana Pacers on Thursday evening. The teams are 5-5 in the last ten matchups while Miami has won two of the last three meetings. The Pacers are 6-4 ATS in the last ten and 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. The Indiana Pacers are 9-7 ATS overall, 3-2 ATS on the road, and 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season while the Miami Heat are 8-10 ATS overall, 1-5 ATS at home, and 4-6 ATS as a favorite on the year.

Indiana enters this game with a better record as they have a record of 9-7 while Miami has a record of 10-8. The Pacers have also been the better team at covering the spread this season as they are 9-7 ATS overall and 3-2 ATS on the road while the Heat are 8-10 ATS overall and have only covered the spread once this season at home as they are 1-5 ATS at home. Buy the .5 point and take the points with the Indiana Pacers when they travel to face the Miami Heat. 

Spooky Express Pick: Indiana Pacers +2