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NBA Betting Picks and Predictions: Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets

November 3, 2023

The Dallas Mavericks (4-0) will battle the defending NBA champion Denver Nuggets (4-1) on the road for a Western Conference showdown. The Nuggets are currently favored with a point spread of -6.5 (-110).

  • Date: November 3, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET

  • Location: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

  • Coverage: ESPN

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Mavericks are aiming to stay undefeated as long as they can, but will have their toughest challenge yet for this game. They recently took care of the Chicago Bulls 114-105, with Luka Doncic actually cooling off for once with 18 points.

The Mavs are currently on top of the Western Conference. Their success will be carried by a heavy load from Luka and veteran all-star Kyrie Irving. However, Irving is a game time decision in this matchup.

They currently average 122.5 points per game (3rd best) and give 113.5 (18th best). Their strong numbers on offense will be tough to beat, but they must aim to bring their defensive side a little higher.

Their offensive rating is at 121.8, ranking second in the league. They also have a defensive rating of 112.8, showing they are 19th in the league for that regard.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Nuggets are off to a great start since winning the NBA title last season. However, they just experienced their first and most disappointing loss of the season. This was a 110-89 blowout against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Nuggets are sitting at third in the West now after their recent defeat. Both Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic are game time decisions for this matchup. Their success heavily depends on Jokic, who was their MVP in the playoffs.

They are averaging 110.8 points per game (16th best) and allow 103.6 (fourth best) points from opponents. If they could find better opportunities on offense, they would be unstoppable.

The Nuggets currently have an offensive rating of 112.2 (12th best) in the league and their defensive rating ranks fifth in the league at 104.9. They are efficient on both ends of the floor, but specifically their best is defending.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie’s odds are showing that the Nuggets are favorites to succeed here at home. According to market analysis, they have a 62.6 percent chance of winning.

  • Dallas Mavericks: +6.5 (-110)

  • Denver Nuggets: -6.5 (-110)

If both Murray and Jokic are game time decisions, then this matchup should be much more appealing in the eyes of the Mavs. Despite Irving potentially being out as well, this still favors the Mavs to keep it within reach. Look for the Mavs to potentially win or keep it a close game.

Spooky Express Pick: Dallas Mavericks +6.5 (-110)