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NFL Betting Pick & Prediction: Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins - Sunday, Dec. 25, 2022

December 25, 2022


The Green Bay Packers enter this game having won two of their last three games and are on a two-game winning streak which includes a 24-12 win at home against the Los Angeles Rams in week 15 of the NFL season.

Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins enter this game having lost their previous three matchups in a row including a 29-32 loss on the road against the Buffalo Bills in week 15 of the NFL season.

BookMaker has the Miami Dolphins listed as 3.5-point favorites at home against the Green Bay Packers and has set the total for the over/under plays at 49.5 points. Will the Packers get their 3rd win in a row or will the Dolphins end their three-game losing streak? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing this season.

Green Bay Packers Team Preview

The Green Bay Packers enter this game with an overall record of 6-8 which includes a 24-12 win at home against the Los Angeles Rams. Green Bay won the time of possession 37:19 to 22:41 and outgained Los Angeles 345 to 156 total yards offensively but was -1 in the turnover department in the win. The Packers are 6-8 ATS overall, 3-4 ATS on the road, and 3-2 ATS as an underdog this season.

Aaron Rodgers leads the team in passing completing 294 of 453 attempts for 3,093 yards with 23 touchdowns and ten interceptions while adding 64 rushing yards. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing with 181 carries for 937 yards and two touchdowns while adding 52 receptions for 364 yards and five touchdowns. Allen Lazard leads the team in receiving catching 46 of 77 targets for 627 yards and five touchdowns.

Miami Dolphins Team Preview

The Miami Dolphins enter this game with an overall record of 8-6 which includes a 29-32 loss on the road against the Buffalo Bills. Miami won the time of possession 30:07 to 29:53 and was +1 in the turnover department but was outgained by Buffalo 405 to 446 total yards offensively in the loss. The Dolphins are 7-7 ATS overall, 4-2 ATS at home, and 4-4 ATS as a favorite this season.

Tua Tagovailoa leads the team in passing completing 243 of 375 attempts for 3,238 yards with 24 touchdowns and five interceptions while adding 70 rushing yards. Raheem Mostert leads the team in rushing with 153 carries for 746 yards and three touchdowns while adding 19 receptions for 146 yards and a touchdown. Tyreek Hill leads the team in receiving catching 109 of 152 targets for 1,529 yards and seven touchdowns.

Green Bay has won five of the last seven games in the series and has won by an average score of 25.57 to 19.86 while going 4-3 ATS in those matchups. The Packers have won two of the last three games and have won by an average score of 26 to 19.67 while going 2-1 ATS in those contests.

The under has hit in four of the last seven games in the series with the teams combining for an average of 45.43 points per game in those contests. The under has hit in two of the last three games with the teams combining for an average of 45.67 points per game in those matchups.

Miami enters this game with the better record, however, Green Bay has played better over the last three games winning two of their previous three while Miami has lost their previous three games in a row. The Packers are 4-3 ATS in the last seven games and 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. As a result, I am buying the .5 point and taking the Green Bay Packers +4 on BookMaker for this matchup on Sunday.

Spooky Express Pick: Green Bay Packers +4