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NFL Betting Picks and Predictions: Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders - January 1, 2023

January 1, 2023


The Dallas Cowboys enter this game having won two of their last three games and are on a two-game winning streak which includes a 27-13 win on the road against the Tennessee Titans in week 17.

Meanwhile, the Washington Commanders enter this game having lost their previous three matchups in a row including a 10-24 loss at home against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday in week 17 of the NFL season.

BookMaker has the Dallas Cowboys listed as 5.5-point favorites on the road against the Washington Commanders and has set the total for the over/under plays at 41 points. Will the Cowboys extend their winning streak to three games or will the Commanders get the win at home? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing this season.

Dallas Cowboys Team Preview

The Dallas Cowboys enter this game with an overall record of 12-4 which includes a 27-13 win on the road against the Tennessee Titans. Dallas won the time of possession 33:26 to 26:34 and outgained Tennessee 361 to 317 total yards offensively but was -1 in the turnover department in the win. The Cowboys are 10-6 ATS overall, 4-3 ATS on the road, 7-4 ATS as a favorite, and 3-2 ATS in Division games this season.

Dak Prescott leads the team in passing completing 247 of 357 attempts for 2,732 yards with 22 touchdowns and 14 interceptions while adding 166 rushing yards and a touchdown on 39 attempts. Tony Pollard leads the team in rushing with 186 carries for 988 yards and nine touchdowns while adding 39 receptions for 371 yards and three touchdowns. CeeDee Lamb leads the team in receiving catching 102 of 149 targets for 1,307 yards and eight touchdowns.

Washington Commanders Team Preview

The Washington Commanders enter this game with an overall record of 7-8-1 which includes a 10-24 loss at home against the Cleveland Browns. Washington won the time of possession 33:32 to 26:28 but was outgained by Cleveland 260 to 301 total yards offensive and was -3 in the turnover department in the loss. The Commanders are 7-8-1 ATS overall, 3-4-1 ATS at home, 3-4-1 ATS as an underdog, and 1-4 ATS in Division games this season.

Taylor Heinicke leads the team in passing completing 161 of 259 attempts for 1,859 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions while rushing for 96 yards and a touchdown on 28 attempts. Brian Robinson Jr. leads the team in rushing with 205 carries for 797 yards and two touchdowns while adding nine receptions for 60 yards and a touchdown. Terry McLaurin leads the team in receiving catching 74 of 114 targets for 1,117 yards and four touchdowns.

Dallas has won seven of the last ten games in the series and has won by an average score of 29.1 to 20.4 while going 7-3 ATS in those matchups. The Cowboys have won the last three games and have won by an average score of 36 to 14.67 while going 3-0 ATS in those contests.

The over has hit in six of the last ten games in the series with the teams combining for an average of 49.5 points per game in those contests. The under has hit in two of the last three games with the teams combining for an average of 50.67 points per game in those matchups.

Dallas has been the better team this season and in the series, winning seven of the last ten including the previous three matchups in a row. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in the last ten and 3-0 ATS in the last three games in the series. As a result, I am buying the .5 point and taking the Dallas Cowboys -5 on BookMaker for this matchup on Sunday.

Spooky Express Pick: Dallas Cowboys -5