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NFL Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

December 10, 2023




A pair of NFC South rivals will face each other in week 14 of the NFL season when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to Atlanta, Georgia to face the Atlanta Falcons at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium with the game scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET and will air on CBS.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter this game in a tie for 2nd place in the NFC South with the New Orleans Saints as they enter this game with a record of 5-7 and ended their two-game losing streak on Sunday with a 21-18 win at home against the Carolina Panthers. The Buccaneers have been a below-average scoring team this season as they enter this game averaging 19.42 points per game which is the 10th fewest points per game in the NFL. The rushing offense has been nearly nonexistent this season as they enter this matchup averaging the 3rd fewest rushing yards per game with an average of 85.17 rushing yards per game while the defense has been one of the best scoring defenses in the league as they are allowing an average of 20.42 points per game which is tied for the 10th fewest points per game allowed. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will look to build momentum following their win against the Carolina Panthers and move into a tie for 1st place in the division when they travel to face the Atlanta Falcons.

Atlanta enters this game in 1st place in the NFC South with a record of 6-6 and is on a two-game winning streak. The success the Falcons have had this season can be attributed to their defense as they are allowing an average of 20 points per game which ranks 7th in the NFL, however, they have been a below-average scoring offense as they enter this game averaging the 9th fewest points per game in the league with an average of 18.83 points per game. The Atlanta Falcons will look to extend their winning streak to three games when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday afternoon in week 14 of the NFL season.

BookMaker has the Atlanta Falcons listed as 1.5-point favorites at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday afternoon in week 14 of the NFL season. Tampa Bay has won six of the last ten while Atlanta has won two of the last three meetings. The teams are 5-5 ATS in the last ten while the Falcons have covered the spread in three straight games in the series. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 7-5 ATS overall, 5-1 ATS on the road, 5-3 ATS as an underdog, and 1-2 ATS in division games this season while the Atlanta Falcons are 4-8 ATS overall, 2-4 ATS at home, 2-6 ATS as a favorite, and 3-0 ATS in division games on the year.

Atlanta enters this game with a better record and has been the better team most recently in the series, winning two of the last three matchups while covering the spread in three straight games in the series. The Falcons have also covered the spread in all of their division games this season as they are 3-0 ATS in division games. As a result, I am buying the .5 point and laying the point with the Atlanta Falcons when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday afternoon.

Spooky Express Pick: Atlanta Falcons -1