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NFL Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
October 22, 2023
A pair of NFC South rivals will square off in week 7 of the NFL season when the Atlanta Falcons travel to Tampa, Florida to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday afternoon with the game airing on Fox.
The Atlanta Falcons enter this game with a record of 3-3 following a 16-24 loss at home against the Washington Commanders while failing to cover the 1.5-point spread as a home favorite in week 6 of the NFL season. Atlanta scored 16 points while compiling a total of 402 yards offensively which included 307 passing yards and 106 rushing yards while allowing 24 points and 193 total yards defensively which included 151 passing yards and 72 rushing yards. Desmond Ridder led the team in passing, completing 28 of 47 attempts for 307 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions while adding 18 rushing yards. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing with 13 carries for 51 yards. Drake London led the team in receiving, catching nine of 12 targets for 125 yards.
Tampa Bay enters this game with a record of 3-2 following a 6-20 loss at home against the Detroit Lions while failing to cover the 3-point spread as a home underdog in week 6 of the NFL season. The Buccaneers scored 6 points while compiling a total of 251 yards offensively which included 206 passing yards and 46 rushing yards while allowing 20 points and 380 total yards defensively which included 353 passing yards and 40 rushing yards. Baker Mayfield led the team in passing, completing 19 of 37 attempts for 206 yards and an interception while rushing for 6 yards. Rachaad White led the team in rushing with seven carries for 26 yards while adding three receptions for 12 yards. Chris Godwin led the team in receiving, catching six of seven targets for 77 yards.
BookMaker has the Tampa Bay Buccaneers listed as 2.5-point favorites at home against the Atlanta Falcons in week 7 of the NFL season. Tampa Bay has won six of the last ten and two of the last three games in the series while winning by an average margin of 5 points per game over the last ten and 2 points per game over the last two meetings. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS overall, 0-1 ATS on the road, 0-2 ATS as an underdog, and 1-0 ATS in division games this season while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3-2 ATS overall, 1-2 ATS at home, 1-0 ATS as a favorite, and 1-0 ATS in division games on the year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are currently in the lead in the NFC South, however, the rest of the division is at .500, and with a loss the Atlanta Falcons would move into 1
place in the division and may have sole possession of 1
place in the division if New Orleans loses. Tampa Bay has looked like the better team this season as Atlanta continues to struggle offensively but has a strong defense much like the Buccaneers with both being above-average defenses in terms of points allowed. I look for this to be a defensive game and a low-scoring affair that would matchup with the trend most recently in the series, with the under hitting in two of the last three meetings. Take the under 38 points for this matchup when the Falcons travel to face the Buccaneers in week 7 of the NFL season.
Spooky Express Pick: Under 38 Points
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