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NFL Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
October 1, 2023
The Miami Dolphins scored the 2
-most points in a game in NFL history in week 3 of the NFL season while winning by a score of 70-20 while after losing in week 1 against the Jets the Bills have won back-to-back games including a 37-3 win against the Washington Commanders. Which team will win this matchup with these two AFC East rivals face off in week 4 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon? Let’s take a look at how these teams have fared this season.
The Miami Dolphins enter this game with a record of 3-0 following a 70-20 win at home against the Denver Broncos while covering the 6-point spread as a home favorite in week 3 of the NFL season. Miami scored 70 points while compiling a total of 726 total yards offensively which included 376 passing yards and 350 rushing yards while allowing 20 points and 363 total yards defensively which included 306 passing yards and 69 rushing yards. Tua Tagovailoa led the team in passing, completing 23 of 26 attempts for 309 yards and four touchdowns. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing with 18 carries for 203 yards and two touchdowns while adding four receptions for 30 yards and two touchdowns. Tyreek Hill led the team in receiving, catching 9 of 11 targets for 157 yards and a touchdown.
Buffalo enters this game with a record of 2-1 following a 37-3 win on the road against the Washington Commanders while covering the 5-point spread as a road favorite in week 3 of the NFL season. The Bills scored 37 points while compiling a total of 386 total yards offensively which included 218 passing yards and 168 rushing yards while allowing 3 points and 230 total yards defensively which included 170 passing yards and 105 rushing yards. Josh Allen led the team in passing, completing 20 of 32 attempts for 218 yards with a touchdown and an interception while rushing for 46 yards and a touchdown. James Cook led the team in rushing with 15 carries for 98 yards while adding two receptions for 14 yards. Stefon Diggs led the team in receiving, catching eight of 12 targets for 111 yards.
BookMaker has the Buffalo Bills listed as 2.5-point favorites at home against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday afternoon in week 4 of the NFL season. Buffalo has won nine of the last ten and two of the last three games while winning by an average margin of 13.9 points per game over the last ten and 1.33 points per game over the last three games in the series. Miami is 3-0 ATS overall, 2-0 ATS on the road, 1-0 ATS as an underdog, and 1-0 ATS in division games this season while the Buffalo Bills are 2-1 ATS overall, 1-0 ATS at home, 2-1 ATS as a favorite, and 0-1 ATS in division games this season.
Both teams have started the season off strong, however, Miami enters this game with a better record while Buffalo has been the better team in the series, winning nine of the last ten and two of the last three games. The Bills have won by an average margin of 13.9 points per game over the last ten and 1.33 points per game over the last three games in the series. I look for the Bills to hand the Dolphins their first loss of the season which is why I am taking the money line for the Buffalo Bills at -145 against the Miami Dolphins at home in week 4 of the NFL season on BookMaker.
Spooky Express Pick: Buffalo Bills Money Line (-145)
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