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NFL Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots
October 1, 2023
The New England Patriots have now won nine in a row against the New York Jets following their 15-10 win in week 3 while despite being heavy favorites on the road against the Arizona Cardinals, the Dallas Cowboys lost the matchup by a score of 16-28. Will the Cowboys bounce back following a disappointing loss in week 3 or will the Patriots improve to .500 on the year with a win on the road? Let’s take a closer look at how these teams are faring.
The New England Patriots enter this game with a record of 1-2 following a 15-10 win on the road against the New York Jets while covering the 2.5-point spread as a road favorite in week 3 of the NFL season. New England scored 15 points while compiling a total of 358 yards offensively which included 201 passing yards and 157 rushing yards while allowing 10 points and 171 yards defensively which included 157 passing yards and 38 rushing yards. Mac Jones led the team in passing, completing 15 of 29 attempts for 201 yards and a touchdown. Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing with 16 carries for 80 yards while adding a reception for seven yards. Pharaoh Brown led the team in receiving, catching both targets for 71 yards and a touchdown.
Dallas enters this game with a record of 1-2 following a 16-28 loss on the road against the Arizona Cardinals while failing to cover the 11-point spread as a road favorite in week 3 of the NFL season. The Cowboys scored 16 points while compiling a total of 416 yards offensively which included 249 passing yards and 185 rushing yards while allowing 28 points and 400 total yards defensively which included 189 passing yards and 222 rushing yards. Dak Prescott led the team in passing, completing 25 of 40 attempts for 249 yards with a touchdown and an interception while adding 24 rushing yards. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing with 23 carries for 122 yards while adding three receptions for -1 yards. Michael Gallup led the team in receiving, catching six of seven targets for 92 yards.
BookMaker has the Dallas Cowboys listed as 6.5-point favorites at home against the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon in week 4 of the NFL season. New England has won six of the last eight and two of the last three games while the Cowboys are 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. New England is 1-2 ATS overall, 1-0 ATS on the road, and 0-2 ATS as an underdog this season while the Dallas Cowboys are 2-1 ATS overall, 1-0 ATS at home, and 2-1 ATS as a favorite on the year.
Dallas is the more talented team this season and I look for them to come out motivated following their loss in week 3. The Cowboys have been the better team at covering the spread most recently in the series, going 2-1 ATS in the last three games, and have been the better team at covering the spread this season going 2-1 ATS overall while the Patriots are 1-2 ATS overall I look for those trends to continue in week 4 of the NFL season when the New England Patriots travel to take on the Dallas Cowboys which is why I am buying the .5 point and taking the Dallas Cowboys -6 on BookMaker.
Spooky Express Pick: Dallas Cowboys -6
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