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NFL Betting Preview: Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins
August 19, 2023
The Miami Dolphins enter this game 0-1 in the preseason after losing at home to the Atlanta Falcons on Friday in week 1 of the NFL preseason by a score of 3-19.
Meanwhile, the Houston Texans are 1-0 in the preseason following a 20-9 win on Thursday in week 1 of the NFL preseason on the road against the New England Patriots.
BookMaker has the Houston Texans listed as 3-point favorites at home against the Miami Dolphins and has set the total for the over/under plays at 40 points. Will the Texans improve to 2-0 in the preseason or will the Dolphins get their first win in the preseason? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing in the preseason this season.
Miami Dolphins Team Preview
The Miami Dolphins enter this game with a record of 0-1 in the preseason following a 3-19 loss at home against the Atlanta Falcons in week 1 of the NFL preseason. The Dolphins are 0-1 ATS overall in the preseason.
Offensively, Miami is averaging 3 points per game in the preseason this year. The Dolphins are averaging 317 total yards, 189 passing yards, and 168 rushing yards in the preseason. Skylar Thompson leads the team in passing in the preseason completing 10 of 16 passes for 104 yards and two touchdowns. Myles Gaskin leads the team in rushing with seven carries for 57 yards while adding two receptions for 20 yards. Devon Achane leads the team in receiving in the preseason with four receptions for 41 yards.
Defensively, the Dolphins are allowing an average of 19 points per game in the preseason. Miami is allowing an average of 227 total yards, 146 passing yards, and 102 rushing yards in the NFL preseason.
Houston Texans Team Preview
The Houston Texans enter this game with a record of 1-0 in the preseason following a 20-9 win on the road against the New England Patriots in week 1 of the NFL preseason. The Texans are 1-0 ATS overall and 1-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
Offensively, the Texans are averaging 20 points per game in the preseason. Houston is averaging 265 total yards, 191 passing yards, and 89 rushing yards per game in the NFL preseason. Davis Mills leads the team in passing in the preseason completing 9 of 12 attempts for 99 yards and a touchdown. Mike Boone leads the team in rushing in the preseason with four carries for 25 yards. Nathaniel Dell leads the team in receiving with five receptions for 65 yards and a touchdown.
Defensively, Houston is allowing an average of 9 points per game in the preseason this year. The Texans are allowing an average of 165 total yards, 102 passing yards, and 78 rushing yards in the preseason.
Series Trends and Game Pick
Houston has won seven of the last ten games in the series and has won by a score of 24 to 21.9 while both teams are 5-5 ATS in those matchups. The Dolphins have won two of the last three games in the series and have won by an average score of 23.33 to 22 while going 2-1 ATS in those contests.
The under is 6-3-1 in the last ten games in the series with the teams combining for an average of 45.9 points per game in those contests. The under has hit in two of the last three games in the series with the teams combining for an average of 45.33 points per game in those matchups.
Miami is the more talented team this season and has been the better team most recently in the series, winning two of the last three games. The Dolphins are 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. As a result, I am taking the Miami Dolphins +3 on BookMaker for this matchup on Saturday afternoon.
Spooky Express Pick: Miami Dolphins +3
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