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NFL Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

October 1, 2023


The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will go on the road this week to Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana against divisional rival, New Orleans Saints. 

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost their first game of the season against the Philadelphia Eagles at home one Monday night and struggled on offense as they only scored 11 points while the New Orleans Saints were looking like they were on their way to starting the season at 3-0 with their first half against the Green Bay Packers as they led the game 17-0 at halftime, however, they failed to score any points in the 2nd half while the Packers scored 18 unanswered points at home. Which team will come away with the win in this NFC South showdown when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to take on the New Orleans Saints in week 4 of the NFL season? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing this season.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter this game with a record of 2-1 following an 11-25 loss at home against the Philadelphia Eagles while failing to cover the 6-point spread as a home underdog in week 3 of the NFL season. Tampa Bay scored 11 points while compiling 174 total yards offensively which included 146 passing yards and 41 rushing yards while allowing 25 points and 472 total yards defensively which included 277 passing yards and 201 rushing yards. Baker Mayfield led the team in passing, completing 15 of 25 attempts for 146 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Rachaad White led the team in rushing with 14 carries for 38 yards while adding three receptions for 24 yards. Mike Evans led the team in receiving, catching five of ten targets for 60 yards and a touchdown.

New Orleans enters this game with a record of 2-1 following a 17-18 loss on the road against the Green Bay Packers while failing to cover the 1.5-point spread as a road favorite in week 3 of the NFL season. The Saints scored 17 points while compiling a total of 252 yards offensively which included 204 passing yards and 77 rushing yards while allowing 18 points and 340 total yards defensively which included 259 passing yards and 95 rushing yards. Derek Carr led the team in passing, completing 13 of 18 attempts for 103 yards and a touchdown. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing with nine receptions for 34 yards. Chris Olave led the team in receiving, catching eight of 11 targets for 104 yards.

BookMaker has the New Orleans Saints listed as 3-point favorites at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday in week 4 of the NFL season. New Orleans has won seven of the last ten while Tampa Bay has won two of the last three contests while the Saints are 8-2 ATS in the last ten and 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. Tampa Bay is 2-1 ATS overall, 1-0 ATS on the road, and 1-1 ATS as an underdog this season while the New Orleans Saints are 0-2-1 ATS overall, 0-1 ATS at home, 0-2-1 ATS as a favorite, and 0-0-1 ATS in division games on the year.

New Orleans is the better team this season especially on defense despite both teams entering this game with a record of 2-1. The Saints have been the better team overall in the last ten games in the series, winning seven of the last ten matchups. The New Orleans Saints are 8-2 ATS in the last ten and 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. As a result, I am taking the New Orleans Saints -3 on BookMaker for this matchup on Sunday afternoon.

Spooky Express Pick: New Orleans Saints -3