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NFL Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots

September 10, 2023


This matchup features the reigning NFC Champion against a team with arguably the best coach in the history of the NFL as the Philadelphia Eagles travel to take on the New England Patriots in week 1 of the NFL season. Will the Eagles build upon their dominance from last season or will the Patriots get the win at home? Let’s take a closer look at how these teams are projected to play this season.

The Philadelphia Eagles finished the 2023 NFL preseason with a record of 0-2-1 with losses on the road against the Baltimore Ravens by a score of 19-20 and at home against the Indianapolis Colts by a score of 13-27 while tying the Cleveland Browns at home by a score of 18-18. 

The Eagles finished last season with a record of 14-3 which led to their 1st NFC East division title since the 2019 NFL season and Philadelphia made the playoffs for the 2nd year in a row. Philadelphia won at home in the Divisional round against the New York Giants by a score of 38-7 and the NFC Championship game at home against the San Francisco 49ers by a score of 31-7 before losing in the Super Bowl against the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-38. 

This season, the Philadelphia Eagles enter the season with an over/under win total of 11 wins and are projected to win the NFC East for the 2nd season in a row while having the 3rd best odds of winning the Super Bowl only behind the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills.

New England finished the preseason with a record of 1-2 with a win on the road against the Green Bay Packers by a score of 21-17 while losing at home to the Houston Texans by a score of 9-20 and on the road against the Tennessee Titans by a score of 7-23. 

The Patriots finished last season with a record of 8-9 which led to a 3rd place finish in the AFC East and New England missing the playoffs and finishing with a losing record after making the playoffs in 2021. This year, the New England Patriots enter the season with an over/under win total of 7.5 wins and based on Vegas odds are projected to be the worst team in the AFC East.

BookMaker has the Philadelphia Eagles listed as 4-point favorites on the road against the New England Patriots on Sunday in week 1 of the NFL season. New England has won five of the last eight games in the series while Philadelphia has won two of the last three games while going 5-3 ATS in the last eight and 2-1 ATS in the last three matchups. 

Philadelphia finished last season with a record of 10-10 ATS overall, 2-6 ATS on the road, and 10-9 ATS as a favorite while the New England Patriots finished last season with a record of 7-9-1 ATS overall, 3-5 ATS at home, and 2-7 ATS as an underdog.

Philadelphia is the more talented team entering the season and has been the better team most recently in the series, winning two of the last three games. The Eagles are 5-3 ATS in the last eight and 2-1 ATS in the last three games in the series. As a result, I am taking the Philadelphia Eagles -4 on BookMaker for this matchup on Sunday afternoon. 

Spooky Express Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -4