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NHL Betting Picks and Predictions: Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple Leafs

November 19, 2023




The Toronto Maple Leafs will face the Minnesota Wild in Stockholm, Sweden at the Avicii Arena on Sunday morning with the puck scheduled to drop at 8:00 AM ET on Sunday morning and the game will air on the NHL Network.

Toronto has won four of their last five games this season and is on a three-game winning streak following a 3-2 win against the Detroit Red Wings. Their offense continues to improve as well as they have averaged 4.2 goals per game over their last five games. William Nylander has been the main catalyst for the success that the Maple Leafs have had recently as he has scored 5 goals and has recorded 5 assists in the last five games for the Maple Leafs. The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this game with a record of 9-5-2 and 20 points which puts them in 3rd place in the Atlantic Division and ties them with the Tampa Bay Lightning, Washington Capitals, and Carolina Hurricanes for the 4th best record in the Eastern Conference. Their early season success can be attributed to their scoring as they rank 7th in the NHL in goals per game with an average of 3.63 goals per game.

The Minnesota Wild have struggled this season as they enter this game in 6th place in the Central Division with a record of 5-8-3 and 13 points and are on a four-game losing streak following a 1-2 shootout loss against the Ottawa Senators. The struggles the Wild have had during their four-game losing streak can be attributed to the lack of success they have had scoring goals as they are averaging 1.75 goals per game during their current stretch. However, despite only averaging 1.75 goals per game over their last four matchups, Minnesota is an above-average scoring team as they are averaging 3.33 goals per game which is above the league average of 3.18 goals per game this season. 

BookMaker has the Toronto Maple Leafs listed as -166 moneyline favorites against the Minnesota Wild in Stockholm on Sunday morning. Toronto is 7-2-1 in the last ten while winning the previous four meetings and has won by an average margin of 1 goal per game over the last ten and 1.67 goals per game over the last three games in the series.

Toronto enters this game as one of the hottest teams in the NHL as they are on a three-game winning streak while the Wild have lost their last four games in a row. The Maple Leafs have also dominated the series against the Wild as they are 7-2-1 in the last ten and have won the last four meetings including a 7-4 win earlier this season. I look for that trend to continue given the recent struggles the Wild have had at scoring goals as they have only averaged 1.75 goals per game in their last seven while the Maple Leafs are averaging 4.2 goals per game in their last five games which is why I am taking the moneyline for the Toronto Maple Leafs at -166 when they face the Minnesota Wild on Sunday morning. 

Spooky Express Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline (-166)