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PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs Betting Preview: Nathan Kelly vs. Damion Nelson

August 18, 2023


The upcoming PFL 8 spectacle scheduled for August showcases a captivating opening bout within the main card, poised to establish the card’s tone. The spotlight shines on a featherweight clash between Nathan Kelly and Damion Nelson, presenting an enticing wagering prospect.


  • Date: August 18, 2023

  • Location: The Theater at Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

  • Main Card: ESPN/ESPN+ at 9:00 PM ET

  • Prelims: ESPN+ at 6:30 PM ET

Nathan Kelly Betting Preview

Kelly is currently riding a seven-fight win streak heading into this battle. His most recent victory was a first round arm triangle choke submission against Zachary Hicks back in March of this year.

His fighting resume shows that he has seven wins that consist of three knockouts, three submissions, and one decision. Six of his seven victories have resulted in a first round finish and he has one loss each by knockout and decision.

He has plenty of fighting experience under his belt, with an amateur record of 10-3 against solid competitors. In his professional experience, he has notable wins in the PFL (2-0) and Bellator (1-0).

Kelly has had a few victories against opponents with established resumes, so this should be an interesting matchup since his current opponent is not as consistent. This is a great opportunity to land an easy win to extend his streak.

Damion Nelson Betting Preview

Nelson has lost his last three out of four fights and needs to find some consistency. His last defeat was a split decision against Beau Samaniego back in June earlier this year.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins that consist of one knockout and three decisions. He has one first round finish and two of his three losses have come by decision.

“Dynamite” went 4-0 in amateur results and even landed a kickboxing victory. However, he has struggled since turning professional, with his best performances in the Cage Fury Fighting Championships (2-2).

Nelson is currently ranked as the 249th best professional featherweight fighter in the world. This is a tremendous opportunity to increase his ranking and get back on track in his career.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie is showing that Nathan Kelly is a moderate favorite to win this fight. Adding Kelly to a parlay with other fights scheduled on the night could prove to be worth more than just betting on him individually to win.


  • Damion Nelson: +215

  • Nathan Kelly: -275

  • *odds are subject to changes

Nelson has some solid qualities on his resume, despite losing almost as many as he has won. These were against decent competition, but this is the toughest matchup to date. Overall, Kelly has a more appealing resume to get the job done.

Final Pick: Take Nathan Kelly to Win at -275