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UFC 292 Betting Preview: Chris Weidman vs. Brad Tavares

August 19, 2023


UFC 292 has tons of exciting matchups and betting opportunities everywhere you look. To cap off the prelims, check out the middleweight bout between Chris Weidman and Brad Tavares.


  • Location: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts

  • Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023

  • Main Card: 10:00 PM EDT (PPV)

  • Prelims: 8:00 PM EDT (ESPN and ESPN+)

  • Early Prelims: 6:30 EDT (ESPN+)

Chris Weidman Betting Preview

Weidman has lost his last three out of four fights and needs to turn things around. His most recent battle was a first round TKO (leg injury) against Uriah Hall back in April of 2021.

His fighting resume shows that he has 15 wins that consists of six knockouts, five submissions, and four decisions. Six of his 15 victories have resulted in a first round finish and all six of his losses have come by knockout.

“The All-American” has a striking accuracy of 43 percent and a takedown accuracy of 47 percent. He lands 3.03 significant strikes a minute while taking on 3.14. This ratio is slightly negative, which could impact the fight.

His defense against significant strikes is at 52 percent and a takedown defense at 65 percent. He also averages 3.92 takedowns and 0.91 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Brad Tavares Betting Preview

Tavares is currently on a two-fight skid and needs to recover soon. His most recent defeat was a first round TKO against Bruno Silva back in April earlier this year.

His fighting resume shows that he has 19 wins that consist of five knockouts, two submissions, and 12 decisions. Five of his 19 wins have resulted in a first round finish and he has four losses each by knockout and decision.

He has a striking accuracy of 42 percent and a takedown accuracy at 27 percent. He lands 3.32 significant strikes a minute while taking on 3.06. This ratio is slightly positive, but is a bit better than Weidman’s.

His defense against significant strikes is at 57 percent and a takedown defense at 81 percent. He also averages 0.85 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie reveals that Brad Tavares is a moderate favorite to win this fight. You could consider adding Tavares to a parlay with other fights scheduled to get the best deal on his odds.


  • Chris Weidman: +220

  • Brad Tavares : -270

  • *odds are subject to changes

Neither fighter has looked impressive lately, as they both have had their issues inside the octagon. You could argue that Weidman has had it worse, but both should still put on an entertaining fight. Since both fighters stack up well on paper, look for Tavares to potentially win this by decision.

Final Pick: Take Brad Tavares to Win at -270