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UFC 292 Betting Preview: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Denis Tiuliulin

August 19, 2023



UFC 292 presents an array of exciting duels and countless opportunities for betting enthusiasts. Among the preliminary fights, do not miss the middleweight clash that showcases Gregory Rodrigues against Denis Tiuliulin.


  • Location: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts

  • Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023

  • Main Card: 10:00 PM EDT (PPV)

  • Prelims: 8:00 PM EDT (ESPN and ESPN+)

  • Early Prelims: 6:30 EDT (ESPN+)

Gregory Rodrigues Betting Preview

Rodrigues is coming off of a first round knockout defeat against Bruno Ferreira back in January earlier this year. This snapped his previous two-fight winning streak dating back to June of last year.

His fighting resume shows that he has 13 wins that consists of eight knockouts, three submissions, and two decisions. Six of his 13 wins have resulted in a first round finish and three out of his five losses have come by knockout.

“RoboCop” has a striking accuracy of 55 percent and a takedown accuracy of 50 percent. He lands 6.09 significant strikes a minute while taking on 5.82. This ratio is fairly aggressive, with little room for error.

His defense against significant strikes is at 51 percent and a takedown defense at 100 percent so far. He also averages 2.20 takedowns and 0.55 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Denis Tiuliulin Betting Preview

Tiuliulin has gone 3-3 in his last six battles (1-2 in UFC), typically winning a fight and then losing the next. His most recent battle was a first round rear naked choke submission against Jun Yong Park back in February of this year.

His fighting resume shows that he has 11 wins that consist of nine knockouts, one decision, and one by other. Six of his 11 wins have resulted in a first round finish and four of his seven losses have come by submission.

He has a striking accuracy of 42 percent but nothing for a takedown accuracy. He lands 5.35 significant strikes a minute while taking on 6.07. This ratio is slightly negative, which might be contributing to his losses.

His defense against significant strikes is at 41 percent and a takedown defense at 73 percent. He does not yet have any averages for takedowns or submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie reveals that Gregory Rodrigues is a moderate favorite to win this showdown. To make use of Rodrigues’ odds, you could look to include him in a parlay with other bouts on the night for a better deal.


  • Denis Tiuliulin: +280

  • Gregory Rodrigues: -355

  • *odds are subject to changes

Tiuliulin has had a rough time adjusting in his few bouts in the UFC. Rodrigues has gone 4-3 here, but has a great opportunity to add another victory against another struggling fighter.

Final Pick: Take Gregory Rodrigues to Win at -355