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UFC 292 Betting Preview: Marlon Vera vs. Pedro Munhoz

August 19, 2023



The amount of superb fighting matchups in UFC 292 is astounding, as well as the betting opportunities associated with them. For example, the opener for the main card offers an excellent bantamweight showdown between sixth ranked Marlon Vera and 10th ranked Pedro Munhoz.


  • Location: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts

  • Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023

  • Main Card: 10:00 PM EDT (PPV)

  • Prelims: 8:00 PM EDT (ESPN and ESPN+)

  • Early Prelims: 6:30 EDT (ESPN+)

Marlon Vera Betting Preview

Vera is coming off of a split decision defeat against Cory Sandhagen back in March earlier this year. This broke his previous four-fight win streak spanning back to June of 2021.

His fighting resume shows that he has 20 wins that consists of eight knockouts, eight submissions, and four decisions. Seven of his 20 wins have resulted in a first round finish and all eight of his losses have come by decision.

“Chito” has a striking accuracy of 50 percent and a takedown accuracy of 41 percent. He lands 4.09 significant strikes a minute while taking on 5.02. This ratio is slightly negative, which could affect the outcome.

His defense against significant strikes is at 52 percent and a takedown defense at 70 percent. He also averages 0.61 takedowns and 1.00 submission per 15 minutes of fight time.

Pedro Munhoz Betting Preview

Munhoz is returning to action after a unanimous decision victory against Chris Gutierrez back in April of this year. This for him back on track after a no contest result and two straight losses prior.

His fighting resume shows that he has 20 wins that consist of five knockouts, eight submissions, and seven decisions. Eight of his 20 wins have resulted in a first round finish and all seven of his defeats have come by decision.

“The Young Punisher” has a striking accuracy of 43 percent but a takedown accuracy of 20 percent. He lands 5.30 significant strikes a minute while taking on 5.90. This ratio is aggressive and slightly negative, but not as bad as Vera’s.

His defense against significant strikes is at 57 percent and a takedown defense at 82 percent. He also averages 0.51 takedowns and 0.58 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie reveals that Marlon Vera is a moderate favorite to win this battle. Both fighters are eerily similar on paper, indicating that this could be a coin flip to who will win.


  • Pedro Munhoz: +164

  • Marlon Vera: -198

  • *odds are subject to changes

Munhoz is slightly more appealing with the amount of strikes each minute. However, Vera could aim to do some work on the ground to extend this battle. Look for Vera to win by decision.

Final Pick: Take Marlon Vera to Win at -198