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UFC 292 Betting Preview: Neil Magny vs. Ian Machado Garry

August 19, 2023



UFC 292 is packed with thrilling matchups and numerous betting prospects abound. Prior to the main event, be sure to catch the welterweight showdown featuring 11th ranked Neil Magny against 13th ranked Ian Machado Garry.


  • Location: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts

  • Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023

  • Main Card: 10:00 PM EDT (PPV)

  • Prelims: 8:00 PM EDT (ESPN and ESPN+)

  • Early Prelims: 6:30 EDT (ESPN+)

Neil Magny Betting Preview

Magny has gone 2-2 in his last four fights, so he will definitely have some motivation to get back on track. His most recent battle was a split decision victory against Philip Rowe back in June earlier this year.

His fighting resume shows that he has 28 wins that consists of seven knockouts, four submissions, and 17 decisions. He only has one win that has resulted in a first round finish and six out of his 10 losses have come by submission.

“The Haitian Sensation” has a striking accuracy of 46 percent and a takedown accuracy of 41 percent. He lands 3.52 significant strikes a minute while taking on 2.25. This ratio shows a good separation between the two averages.

His defense against significant strikes is at 54 percent and a takedown defense at 57 percent. He also averages 2.30 takedowns and 0.28 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Ian Machado Garry Betting Preview

Garry is currently undefeated through 12 professional bouts so far in his career. His most recent win was a first round TKO against Daniel Rodriguez back in May earlier this year.

His fighting resume shows that he has 12 wins that consist of seven knockouts, one submission, and four decisions. Four of his 12 wins have resulted in a first round finish.

“The Future” has a striking accuracy of 56 percent and a takedown accuracy at 50 percent. He lands 6.85 significant strikes a minute while taking on 4.09. This ratio is a bit more aggressive and has more separation than what Magny offers.

His defense against significant strikes is at 53 percent and a takedown defense at 64 percent. He also averages 0.29 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie reveals that Ian Machado Garry is a heavy favorite to win this battle. To maximize Garry's odds, consider including him in a parlay alongside other scheduled fights for a more advantageous deal.


  • Neil Magny: +380

  • Ian Machado Garry : -500

  • *odds are subject to changes

Magny is a UFC veteran that has been around for quite some time. Against Garry, he might struggle against his aggressive striking. Look for Garry to take this potentially by knockout as he will likely control the pace, and as always, look for the early finish.  Garry's odds are sort of inflated here at -500 so we will side with Garry to win Inside the Distance at -170.

Final Pick: Take Ian Machado Garry to Win Inside the Distance at -170