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UFC 293 Betting Preview: Manel Kape vs. Felipe Dos Santos

September 9, 2023


At UFC 293, there are plenty of reasons to check out intriguing fights. One good betting opportunity to consider is the flyweight bout on the main card between 10th ranked Manel Kape and Felipe Dos Santos.


  • Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia

  • Date: Saturday, September 9, 2023

  • Main Card: 10:00 PM ET (PPV)

  • Prelims: 8:00 PM ET (ESPN/ESPN+)

  • Early Prelims: 6:30 PM ET (ESPN+)

Manel Kape Betting Preview

Kape has three recent battles under his belt without a loss. His most recent success was a unanimous decision over David Dvorak back at UFC Fight Night 216 in December of last year.

He has obtained 18 victories, 11 of which are by knockout, five by submission, and two by decision. Nine of his 18 wins have been first round finishes and four of his six losses have come by decision.

“Starboy” has been landing strikes at an accuracy at 52 percent and takedowns at 29 percent. He has been landing significant strikes at 4.46 each minute and absorbing 3.92 in the same timeframe. This is a solid ratio, but it could be better.

He has been defending solidly against significant strikes and takedowns, at 54 and 69 percent of the time, respectively. He also has a little bit of ground action, with 0.56 takedowns and submissions per 15 minutes of action.

Felipe Dos Santos Betting Preview

Dos Santos is currently undefeated through seven professional battles. His most recent success was a unanimous decision over Hugo Paiva back at Legacy Fighting Alliance 146 in November of last year.

His resume showcases his seven wins with two knockouts, three submissions, and two decisions. Three of his wins have resulted in opening round finishes.

“Lipe Detona” is making his debut in the UFC and has a big challenge in this fight. He has moved around various fighting leagues over the years, with his best coming at LFA.

He is currently considered as the 113th best flyweight fighter in the world. To put this fight in perspective, Kape ranks as the seventh best flyweight in the world (before UFC rankings).

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The most recent odds provided by MyBookie reveal that Manel Kape is a heavy favorite to win this fight. Consider the addition of Kape to a parlay in order to give his odds a boost with other fights on the night.


  • Felipe Dos Santos: +280

  • Manel Kape: -400

Dos Santos agreed to battle and stepped in for Kai Kara-France on a two-week notice. He is a newcomer to the league and will get a taste of what to expect. However, Kape is a great fighter and holds the key to cracking the top 10 in this division.

Final Pick: Take Manel Kape to Win at -400