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UFC 293 Betting Preview: Tai Tuivasa vs. Alexander Volkov
September 9, 2023
UFC 293 features excellent betting opportunities everywhere you look. The co-main event is one of those appealing options, which is a heavyweight bout between sixth ranked Tai Tuivasa and eighth ranked Alexander Volkov.
Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia
Date: Saturday, September 9, 2023
Main Card: 10:00 PM ET (PPV)
Prelims: 8:00 PM ET (ESPN/ESPN+)
Early Prelims: 6:30 PM ET (ESPN+)
Tai Tuivasa Betting Preview
Tuivasa has lost his last two battles, which have both been knockouts. His most recent knockout defeat was against Sergei Pavlovich back in December of last year at UFC ESPN 42.
He has put together a resume of 14 victories, consisting of 13 knockouts and one decision. 12 of his 14 victories have been first round finishes and three of his five losses have come by knockout.
“Bam Bam” has a striking accuracy at 50 percent, but nothing for takedowns. He averages 4.10 significant strikes each minute and takes on 4.46, which is not ideal in a striking war.
He boasts a 45 percent defense rate against significant strikes and a 52 percent success rate in thwarting takedowns. Interestingly, he does not exhibit any ground activity, recording zero takedowns and submission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
Alexander Volkov Betting Preview
Volkov has won his last two battles and has the better momentum coming into this battle. His recent success was a first round TKO against Alexander Romanov back at UFC Fight Night 221 in March earlier this year.
He has gained 36 wins that are compiled of 24 knockouts, three submissions, and nine decisions. 17 of his 36 wins have resulted in first round finishes and half of his 10 losses have come by decision.
"Drago" consistently strikes with an accuracy of 57 percent and lands takedowns with a 70 percent success rate. He lands an average of 4.89 significant strikes per minute while absorbing only 3.00, making this an appealing ratio.
His defense is not bad either, as he defends against significant strikes at 54 percent and against takedowns at 73 percent. He is not very active on the ground, but averages 0.51 takedowns and 0.15 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.
Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick
MyBookie has the following moneyline, showing that Alexander Volkov is a moderate favorite to win this battle. Adding Volkov to a parlay with other battles on the night might give you the best odds.
Tai Tuivasa: +164
Alexander Volkov: -198
This will primarily be a striking war since neither one fights on the ground much, especially Tuivasa. His negative significant strike ratio is also not appealing, which makes Volkov the better fighter to come away with the win.
Final Pick: Take Alexander Volkov to Win at -198
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