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UFC 294 Betting Preview: Anshul Jubli vs. Mike Breeden

October 21, 2023

UFC 294 is approaching, scheduled to happen in the United Arab Emirates on Saturday, October 21. A noteworthy matchup in the preliminary card to check out is the lightweight showdown between Anshul Jubli and Mike Breeden, presenting an ideal betting prospect.

  • Location: Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West United Arab Emirates

  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

  • Main Card: 2:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 10:00 AM ET (ESPN+)

Anshul Jubli Betting Preview

Jubli is currently undefeated through seven professional battles so far. His most recent victory was back at UFC Fight Night 218, where he landed a second round TKO over Jeka Asparido Saragih in February earlier this year.

Among his seven victories, he has secured two via knockouts, one through submission, and four by decision. In two of his bouts, he managed to conclude the fight in the initial round, indicating his potential for an early finish once more.

Regarding his performances, “King of Lions” typically maintains a striking accuracy of 42 percent but falls short in takedown accuracy, which stands at 33 percent. Nevertheless, he upholds an impressive significant strike ratio, delivering 5.69 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.80. This only leaves a little margin for mistakes.

Jubli's defense against significant strikes is robust, boasting a 53 percent success rate, and he excels in takedown defense, with a solid 60 percent. Although he is not particularly active on the ground, he occasionally attempts 1.26 takedowns and 0.63 submissions per 15 minutes of fighting action.

Mike Breeden Betting Preview

Breeden needs a miracle to break out of his losing slump, as he has lost his last three battles. His most recent defeat was a first round TKO against Terrance McKinney back at UFC on ESPN 51 in August a few months back.

He has been victorious in 10 of his battles so far, which consist of eight knockouts and two decisions. While he has five first round finishes, he also has three losses each by knockout and decision.

"Money" displays an impressive 42 percent accuracy in striking, although his takedown accuracy falls short at 33 percent. He consistently delivers 5.22 significant strikes per minute but absorbs 7.02. Despite landing several strikes, he maintains a negative ratio, highlighting the need for improved defensive skills to enhance his winning prospects.

Regarding defense, he maintains a decent 41 percent success rate against significant strikes and a 62 percent success rate against takedowns. His ground game also exhibits activity, with an average of 1.37 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

According to MyBookie's odds, Anshul Jubli appears to have a favorable edge over a prominent adversary.

  • Mike Breeden: +236

  • Anshul Jubli: -322

Jubli appears much smoother on paper and should have a good striking performance here. Assuming you choose Jubli to prevail, you could explore the option of boosting his potential winnings by adding him to a parlay bet with other fights on the night.

Spooky Express Pick: Anshul Jubli -322