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UFC 294 Betting Preview: Tim Elliott vs. Muhammad Mokaev

October 21, 2023

UFC 294, scheduled to take place in the United Arab Emirates, offers a plethora of thrilling matchups. Among the main card highlights is a flyweight showdown between the 10th-ranked Tim Elliott and the 11th-ranked Muhammad Mokaev, serving as the grand finale to the preliminaries.

  • Location: Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West United Arab Emirates

  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

  • Main Card: 2:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 10:00 AM ET (ESPN+)

Tim Elliott Betting Preview

Elliot has won his last two fights and is aiming to record another. His previous win was a unanimous decision over Victor Altamirano back at UFC on ESPN 46 in June of this year.

His resume displays a diverse track record, encompassing 19 wins, which include three via knockout, six by submission, and 10 by decision. Notably, five of his victories concluded within the first round, while half of his 12 losses occurred via decision.

Regarding his striking capabilities, he boasts a 44 percent accuracy rate, along with a 47 percent success rate for executing takedowns. His performance in significant strikes is particularly impressive, as he lands an average of 3.47 while absorbing only 2.76, resulting in a favorable ratio that could work to his advantage if he adopts a more aggressive approach.

On the defensive side, he excels in deflecting significant strikes at a 57 percent success rate. Furthermore, his takedown defense is slightly better, standing at 60 percent. In the realm of grappling, he averages 3.88 takedowns and 0.92 submissions per 15 minutes of ground action.

Muhammad Mokaev Betting Preview

Mokaev has been perfect through his first 10 professional MMA bouts. His recent success was a third round neck crank submission against Jafel Filho at UFC 286 in March at the beginning of the year.

His track record of 10 victories is truly impressive, including two knockouts, five submissions, and three decisions. Remarkably, he has wrapped up three out of his 10 wins in the first round, making him a formidable force in the opening moments of a fight.

"The Punisher" his striking accuracy hovers around a modest 54 percent, while his takedown success rate matches that figure. When it comes to significant strikes, he maintains a slightly positive ratio, landing 1.14 strikes for every 0.87 absorbed. However, he could benefit from showing a bit more aggression if he wishes to continue accumulating wins.

On the defensive front, he is resilient against significant strikes with a solid 62 percent success rate but has not yet demonstrated a strong defense against takedowns. Furthermore, his ground game is marked by aggressiveness, averaging 7.34 takedowns and 1.34 submissions per 15 minutes of action.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie's odds strongly favor Muhammad Mokaev in this fight, making him the top competitor to win.

  • Tim Elliott: +355

  • Muhammad Mokaev: -526

Mokaev is a huge threat on the ground and will likely keep the fight there. Consider adding Mokaev to a parlay bet with other matches happening that evening to potentially boost your payout if he emerges victorious.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Muhammad Mokaev to Win at -526