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UFC 296 Betting Preview: Brian Kelleher vs. Cody Garbrandt

December 16, 2023

Coming up on UFC 296, bettors are in for an exciting night. One battle to look into is a bantamweight showdown in the prelims between Cody Garbrandt and Brian Kelleher on Saturday, December 16, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the prelims debuting at 8:00 PM ET. Garbrandt is currently the moneyline favorite to succeed at -205.

Cody Garbrandt Betting Preview

Garbrandt has gone 1-2 in his last three fights, but was able to break his two-fight losing skid. In this recent success, he defeated Trevin Jones by unanimous decision at UFC 285 in March of this year.

He has accumulated 13 wins that have spanned across 10 knockouts and three decisions. Three of his knockout victories have ended in the opening round and four of his five defeats have come by knockout.

“No Love” delivers strikes at a success rate of 40 percent and takedowns at 34 percent. His significant strike ratio is slightly negative, as he lands 3.00 significant strikes each minute and absorbs 3.89. This could make a difference in the outcome.

Garbrandt la ds 1.13 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time to make it interesting. He also defends against significant strikes at 61 percent and against takedowns at 79 percent.

Brian Kelleher Betting Preview

Kelleher has lost his last two fights and is needing to find consistency here. His most recent loss was a first round rear-naked choke submission against Mario Bautista at UFC on ESPN 38 in July of last year.

He has accumulated 24 wins that show eight knockouts, 10 submissions, and six decisions. 10 of these wins have resulted in first round finishes. Looking at his 14 losses, eight have come by submission.

“Boom” lands strikes at a success rate of 41 percent and lands takedowns at a rate slightly higher 43 percent. His significant strike ratio is slightly worse than his opponents’, as he delivers 3.36 significant strikes and takes on 4.61.

He manages to throw in 1.79 takedowns and 0.71 submissions per 15 minutes of action. He also defends against significant strikes at 55 percent and against takedowns at 60 percent.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie shows off their odds for this showdown with Cody Garbrandt as the moderate favorite to win this fight. Bettors might want to throw him in with a parlay of other fights on the night or choose a prop bet that would be more appealing than just the moneyline.

  • Brian Kelleher: +170

  • Cody Garbrandt: -205

Both fighters have negative significant strike ratios, but Kelleher is the worst out of the two. With his recent two-fight skid and not fighting since last year, Garbrandt is the appealing option here.

Final Pick: Cody Garbrandt -205