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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Amanda Ribas vs. Luana Pinheiro

November 18, 2023

UFC Fight Night 232 is approaching soon on Saturday, November 18, and will feature an exciting main card. One bout to look into further is the women’s strawweight battle between 10th-ranked Amanda Ribas and ninth-ranked Luana Pinheiro.

  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

  • Main Card: 5:00 PM ET

  • Prelims: 2:00 PM ET

  • Coverage: ESPN+

Amanda Ribas Betting Preview

Ribas is 3-3 over the last six fights she has competed in. Her most recent battle was a second round TKO over Maycee Barber earlier this year in June at UFC on ABC 5.

She has compiled 11 wins consisting of two knockouts, four submissions, and five decisions. Four wins so far have ended in the opening round of the fight. In four of her losses, three have come by knockout.

She typically lands strikes at a success rate of 43 percent and takedowns at a rate of 54 percent. She has an aggressive significant strike ratio, landing 4.73 and taking on 3.24 significant strikes each minute of combat. This is a favorable advantage that she must use here.

Defensively, Ribas does well in defending against significant strikes and takedowns at a rate of 64 and 89 percent, respectively. She also chips in 2.27 takedowns and 0.91 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Luana Pinheiro Betting Preview

Pinheiro has quickly claimed the rankings in the UFC, as she has won all of her bouts so far and aims to increase her win streak to 10 in a row for her career. Her most recent triumph was a split decision over Michelle Waterson-Gomez back at UFC 287 in April of this year.

While acquiring 11 wins, she has landed many from different categories such as two knockouts, five submissions, three decisions, and one by a disqualified opponent (illegal upkick). Eight of her 11 victories have resulted in first round finishes and only one loss by decision.

With a striking accuracy at 40 percent and landing takedowns at 50 percent, Pinheiro has a quality shot at victory here. The main difference will be her significant strike ratio, as she delivers 3.86 significant strikes each minute and takes on 3.67. She does not have the positive gap that Ribas has.

She defends against significant strikes at 64 percent and against takedowns at 50 percent. She also adds 2.83 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie showcases the odds for this women’s strawweight battle, with Amanda Ribas being moderately favored to win. Bettors might want to consider adding her to a parlay with other fights from the night or choose a prop bet to have the best payout possible if she wins.

Ribas has more quality wins under her belt and better stats. Look for a quality victory, potentially by decision.

Spooky Express Pick: Amanda Ribas to Win in Parlay or Prop