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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Angela Hill vs. Denise Gomes

November 4, 2023

The fast approaching UFC Fight Night in São Paulo, Brazil presents an exciting card with intriguing matchups, such as a preliminary women's strawweight bout between 12th-ranked Angela Hill (15-13-0) and Denise Gomes (8-2-0). Gomes is currently favored at -125 to secure the win in this clash.

  • Location: Ibirapuera Arena in São Paulo, Brazil

  • Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

  • Main Card: 9:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 6:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Angela Hill Betting Preview

Hill is returning to the octagon after suffering a defeat in her last battle, which ended her two-fight win streak. This was a unanimous decision against Mackenzie Dern back at UFC Fight Night 223 in May of this year.

Of her 15 wins, she has compiled five knockouts and 10 decisions. So far, one of those knockouts has resulted in a first round finish. She also has 11 of her 13 defeats coming by decision.

“Overkill” boasts a 50 percent accuracy rate in her strikes, successfully executing takedowns at a 29 percent rate. She maintains a remarkable pace, delivering 5.46 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.97, indicating a favorable striking balance with minimal margin for error.

Her defensive capabilities shine, as she fends off significant strikes with a 62 percent success rate and thwarts takedowns at an impressive 76 percent. On the ground, she doesn't display much activity, averaging 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Denise Gomes Betting Preview

Gomes has been successful in her previous two battles heading into this matchup. Her most recent win was a first round, 20-second, TKO over Yazmin Jauregui back at UFC 290 in July of this year.

She has accumulated eight wins that consist of six knockouts and two decisions. Two of her wins have resulted in first round finishes and she has one loss each by knockout and decision.

"Bee”’s performance statistics are impressive, boasting a 49 percent striking accuracy and a 33 percent takedown success rate. Her significant strike ratio demonstrates balance, delivering 5.07 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.10.

In terms of defense, she excels with a 55 percent success rate against significant strikes and a 50 percent success rate against takedowns. Additionally, she displays some ground activity with 1.18 takedowns per 15 minutes of action.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie is showing this matchup could potentially be a toss up, with Denise Gomes as a slight favorite to win against the ranked opponent. Either way, expect a closely fought battle.

  • Angela Hill: +105

  • Denise Gomes: -125

Hill is nearly a coin flip with each battle she engages in, while Gomes appears to be a rising star. Look for her to pull through with a big win.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Denise Gomes to Win at -125